THB: USD/THB Higher, But Still Comfortably Below Resistance Levels

Sep-18 03:41

USD/THB remains within recent ranges, last at 31.80, up around 0.20% so far today. Earlier highs were at 31.86, but broader USD sentiment has softened as today's session has progressed, US equity futures are higher, while US Tsy yields are down around 2bps. More broadly USD/THB levels are following dollar index level and gold price trends fairly closely. 

  • We remain some distance from meaningful resistance levels for the pair. The 20-day EMA is around 32.03, while the 50-day EMA (which we have been above since April) is back at 32.285. Equally, earlier Sep lows at 31.61 remain firmly intact.
  • Earlier headlines crossed from new Thailand PM Anutin stated earlier that the government will quickly restore stronger economic growth. Anutin's new cabinet has also been sent to the Thailand Royal Family for approval. Fresh policy decisions, including those potentially around FX, may flow once the new cabinet is in place.
  • Elsewhere, local equities sit lower, the SET back under 1300, following a strong run higher in recent weeks. Offshore investor flows remain flat for Sep as whole in the equity space.
  • On the data front, tomorrow delivers FX reserves (up to Sep 12), while the release window for Aug customs trade data is tomorrow until Sep 26. 

 

Historical bullets

JGBS AUCTION: 20-Year JGB Auction Results

Aug-19 03:38

The Japanese Ministry of Finance (MOF) sells Y606.1bn 20-Year JGBs:

  • Average Yield: 2.581% (prev. 2.482%)
  • Average Price: 98.93 (prev. 100.23)
  • High Yield: 2.591% (prev. 2.496%)
  • Low price: 98.80 (prev. 100.05)
  • % Allotted At High Yield: 65.3666% (prev. 20.3084%)
  • Bid/Cover: 3.0853x (prev. 3.1462x)

JGBS AUCTION: 20Y Supply Faces A Yield & A Curve Near Cyclical Highs

Aug-19 03:02

The Japanese Ministry of Finance (MoF) will today sell Y800bn of 20-Year JGBs. The MoF last sold 20-year debt on 10 July 2025.

  • Today’s 20-year JGB auction offers an outright yield near its cycle high, 10bps above last month’s level.
  • Moreover, the 10/20 yield curve remains near its recent high, its steepest since 1999.
  • The 20-year JGB is at a similar valuation to last month in terms of the 10/20/30 butterfly.
  • On the other hand, the auction comes amid a slight improvement in sentiment toward long-term global bonds.
  • Given these dynamics, it remains to be seen whether today’s supply can generate some positive momentum for JGB auctions or if market caution will weigh on demand.
  • Results are due at 0435 GMT / 1235 JT.

JGBS AUCTION: Poll: 20-Year JGB Auction

Aug-19 03:00

*JAPAN 20Y GOVT BOND AUCTION MAY HAVE 98.85 LOWEST PRICE:POLL – BLOOMBERG