At the Tokyo lunch break, JGB futures are weaker, -43 compared to the settlement levels, hovering just session lows.
- Outside of the previously outlined trade balance data, there hasn't been much by way of domestic drivers to flag.
- Today’s heavy session aligns with US tsys, which are trading 2-3bps cheaper in today's Asia-Pac session as risk bounces on US-China officials citing 'substantial progress' made from weekend trade talks held in Switzerland. US Treasury Secretary Bessent said there had been 'substantial progress' in the two days of talks with China and that further details would be shared today.
- “Japan won’t accept any initial trade agreement with the US that excludes auto tariffs, according to Prime Minister Shigeru Ishiba. Ishiba on Monday made his stance clear when asked in parliament about the possibility that Washington might urge Tokyo to strike a provisional agreement that doesn’t address US tariffs on car imports.” (per BBG)
- Cash JGBs are 2-8bps cheaper across benchmarks, with a steepening bias. The benchmark 10-year yield is 4bps higher at 1.409% versus the cycle high of 1.596%.
- Swap rates are 2-6bps higher, with swap spreads mixed.