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The trend condition in S&P E-Minis remains bearish and fresh cycle lows last week reinforced current conditions. Moving average studies are in a bear-mode set-up highlighting a dominant downtrend Sights are on 5483.50, a Fibonacci projection. Note that the short-term trend condition is oversold, a corrective bounce would allow this set-up to unwind. Firm resistance to watch is 5976.83, the 50-day EMA.
J.P.Morgan think that the 3s/10s OAT curve is too steep, while pointing to “anecdotal evidence suggesting concentrated overweight carry exposures in the short-end the OAT curve”.