CNH: USD/CNH Holding Above 7.1600, CNY Basket Makes Fresh Lows

Jul-01 22:08

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Spot USD/CNH tracks close to 7.1600 in early Wednesday dealings. CNH lost a little ground on Tuesday...

Historical bullets

ASIA: Coming Up In Asia-Pacific Markets On Monday

Jun-01 21:57

2300GMT 0700HKT 0900AEDT Australia S&P Global PMI Mfg May F
2350GMT 0750HKT 0950AEDT Japan Capital Spending Q1
2350GMT 0750HKT 0950AEDT Japan Company Sales/Profits Q1
0030GMT 0830HKT 1030AEDT Japan Jibun Bank PMI Mfg May F
0100GMT 0900HKT 1100AEDT Australia MI Inflation Gauge May
0130GMT 0930HKT 1130AEDT Australia ANZ-Indeed Job Ads May
0200GMT 1000HKT 1200AEDT South Korea Sell KRW2.3tln 2-Yr Bonds

AUSSIE 3-YEAR TECHS: (M5) Rallies Off Lower Levels

Jun-01 21:45
  • RES 3: 97.190 - High May 5 2023
  • RES 2: 96.932 - 76.4% of Mar-Nov ‘23 bear leg 
  • RES 1: 96.860 - High Apr 07
  • PRICE: 96.650 @ 14:56 BST May 30
  • SUP 1: 95.900 - Low Jan 14  
  • SUP 2: 95.760 - Low 14 Nov ‘24
  • SUP 3: 95.480 - Low Jan 11 2023 and a major support 

Aussie 3-yr futures rallied off lower levels on the RBA rate cut and guidance last week, however prices remain south of the 50-dma for now. The recent rally took out resistance at 96.730, the Sep 17 ‘24 high, however momentum faltered, leaving 96.860 resistance intact. This remains the key level to the upside.  Instead, a continuation lower would strengthen a bearish theme. This would refocus attention on 95.760, the 14 Nov ‘24 low. A reversal higher would refocus attention on 96.860, the Apr 7 high. 

AUSSIE 10-YEAR TECHS: (M5) Bear Cycle Remains Intact For Now

May-30 22:15
  • RES 3: 96.501 - 76.4% of the Mar 14 - Nov 1 ‘23 bear leg
  • RES 2: 96.207 - 61.8% of the Mar 14 - Nov 1 ‘23 bear leg
  • RES 1: 95.960 - High Apr 7 
  • PRICE: 95.745 @ 14:57 BST May 30
  • SUP 1: 95.415/95.300 - Low May 15 / Low Jan 14  
  • SUP 2: 95.275 - Low Nov 14  (cont) and a key support
  • SUP 3: 94.707 - 1.0% 10-dma envelope

Aussie 10-yr futures rallied well on the RBA rate decision last week, reversing a small part of recent weakness. Recent price action pressured prices through to new pullback lows last week. Next support undercuts at 95.420 (pierced), the Feb 13 low, ahead of 95.275, the Nov 14 low and a key support. Clearance of this level would strengthen a bearish condition. To the upside, a recovery of recent losses would shift attention to resistance at 96.207, a Fibonacci retracement point.