AMERICAS OIL: US OIL: December 5 - Americas End of Day Oil Summary: Crude Higher

Dec-05 19:35

US OIL: December 5 - Americas End of Day Oil Summary: Crude Higher 

WTI Crude has risen slightly higher and is now on track for a small net gain on the week amid stalled Ukraine peace talks, further potential EU/G7 actions against Russia, and geopolitical risks in Venezuela, outweighing concerns for a market surplus heading into 2026. US consumer sentiment was higher in the December reading.

  • The US total oil and gas rig count was up 5 rigs on the week at 549 rigs, according to Baker Hughes. This puts total US oil and gas rigs down 40, or 6.8% on the year. Oil: 413 (6) - down 69 rigs, or 14.3% on the year. Canada: 191 (+3) - down 3 rigs, or 1.5% on the year.
  • The G7 and European Union are in talks to scrap the oil price cap on Russia and instead impose a full ban on Russia accessing maritime services in order to disrupt its oil exports, sources told Reuters. Russia exports over a third of its oil in Western tankers.
  • Ukraine and Russia talks appeared stalled, with Putin emphasizing that several points in the US backed peace plan were unacceptable. Talks between Umerov and Witkoff will take place in Miami today.
  • OPEC’s oil output edged lower in November despite higher quotas due to outages in some member countries, according to a Reuters and Bloomberg surveys.
  • Russia plans to raise oil exports from its western ports by 27% in December from November amid excess crude storage buildup and large rollover volumes after bad weather and drone attacks, Reuters reports.
  • Russian crude imports are slightly higher after sanctions went into effect on Nov. 21, with combined imports into China, India and Turkey edging 50k b/d above Aug.-Oct. averages, according to JPMorgan.
  • Crude stockpiling in China, continuing around 900kb/d, will help absorb a global surplus next year, Citigroup said cited by Bloomberg.
  • Suncor reported flaring at its Sarnia refinery in Ontario due to a process interruption according to a community alert.
  • Diesel cracks have risen as the market assesses overnight Ukrainian strikes on Russian energy infrastructure, as well as potentially longer maintenance at Kuwait’s Al-Zour refinery, though remain well below highs seen in November. Gasoline cracks ended slightly lower as the gain in RBOB futures lagged crude’s.
    • WTI Jan futures were up 0.7% at $60.08
    • WTI Feb futures were up 0.8% at $59.78
    • RBOB Jan futures were up 0.4% at $1.83
    • ULSD Jan futures were up 2.6% at $2.36
    • US gasoline crack down 0.1$/bbl at 16.95$/bbl
    • US ULSD crack up 1.7$/bbl at 39.24/bbl

Historical bullets

USDJPY TECHS: Dips Affirmed as Corrective

Nov-05 19:30
  • RES 4: 155.89 High Feb 3
  • RES 3: 155.53 2.00% retracement of the Jan 10 - Apr 22 bear leg
  • RES 2: 154.80 High Feb 12
  • RES 1: 154.48 High Nov 4
  • PRICE: 154.30 @ 07:08 GMT Nov 5
  • SUP 1: 152.96 High Oct 10
  • SUP 2: 152.21 20-day EMA  
  • SUP 3: 150.41 50-day EMA 
  • SUP 4: 149.38 Low Oct 17 

Wednesday’s price action affirms the view that short-term dips in the price are corrective in nature, with the price rallying well off the lows to erase Tuesday’s decline. This keeps the trend condition in USDJPY unchanged and bullish. The break higher last week confirmed a resumption of the uptrend and note too that moving average studies are in a bull-mode position, highlighting a dominant uptrend. Sights are on 154.80, the Feb 12 high. First important support to watch lies at 152.21, the 20-day EMA.

SOFR OPTIONS: Large Mar'26 SOFR Call Spread Buy

Nov-05 19:18
  • +25,000 SFRH6 96.62/96.81 call spds, 2.75 ref 96.395

US STOCKS: Late Equities Roundup: Overbought Tech Sector Concerns Cool

Nov-05 19:13
  • Stocks have recovered from the prior session's sell-off Wednesday, back to or near late Monday levels. Currently, the DJIA trades up 258.93 points (0.55%) at 47342.77, S&P E-Minis up 48.25 points (0.71%) at 6850.75, Nasdaq up 264.4 points (1.1%) at 23620.13.
  • Information Technology sector shares led gainers on the day, rebounding after opinions of the tech sector tied to AI has been overbought dissipated: Seagate Technology +12.62%, Micron Technology +8.69%, Western Digital +7.88%, First Solar +6.30% and Teradyne +6.26%.
  • Communication Services and Consumer Discretionary sector shares followed: Match Group +6.69%, Paramount Skydance +2.83%, Charter Communications +2.33% and Meta Platforms +2.22% buoyed the Communication sector while the Discretionary sector was supported by Lululemon Athletica +5.12%, Wynn Resorts +4.17%, Marriott International +4.00%, Ford Motor +3.64% and Tesla +3.53%.
  • Second half declines were led by a mix of Consumer Staples, Health Care and Utilities: Zimmer Biomet Holdings -14.38%, Live Nation Entertainment -7.95%, Charles River Laboratories -7.82%, Humana -7.63%, Axon Enterprise -7.61% and Archer-Daniels-Midland -4.81%.
  • Earnings expected after today's close include: Albemarle Corp, McKesson Corp, Fortinet Inc, APA Corp, Duolingo Inc, Lucid Group Inc, DoorDash Inc, Snap Inc, AppLovin Corp, Robinhood Market, Lyft Inc, Enovix Corp, QUALCOMM Inc, Dutch Bros Inc and Fair Isaac Corp.