EQUITIES: US Futures Stabilizing, Led by Tech Shares and NASDAQ

Oct-24 08:39

The trend condition in S&P E-Minis remains bullish and the contract is trading above the 50-day EMA. The average, currently at 6637.80, has been pierced but remains intact - for now. Note that the Oct 10 low of 6540.25 marks the key short-term support. The trend structure in Eurostoxx 50 futures remains bullish. The breach of 5689.00, the Oct 2 high and bull trigger, confirms a resumption of the uptrend. This maintains the price sequence of higher highs and higher lows.

  • Japan's NIKKEI closed higher by 658.04 pts or +1.35% at 49299.65 and the TOPIX ended 15.67 pts higher or +0.48% at 3269.45.
  • Elsewhere, in China the SHANGHAI closed higher by 27.902 pts or +0.71% at 3950.312 and the HANG SENG ended 192.17 pts higher or +0.74% at 26160.15.
  • Across Europe, Germany's DAX trades lower by 49.88 pts or -0.21% at 24159.02, FTSE 100 lower by 2.21 pts or -0.02% at 9575.66, CAC 40 down 32.47 pts or -0.39% at 8193.31 and Euro Stoxx 50 down 4.7 pts or -0.08% at 5663.63.
  • Dow Jones mini down 7 pts or -0.01% at 46916, S&P 500 mini up 12.5 pts or +0.18% at 6787.5, NASDAQ mini up 88.25 pts or +0.35% at 25341.25.

Historical bullets

RBA: VIEW: TD Remove Call For Nov & Feb Cuts, Pay Nov RBA OIS

Sep-24 08:38

Sell-side names continue to adjust their RBA calls in a hawkish direction after the latest round of monthly CPI data. TD Securities note that “CPI is running hotter than the RBA would probably like and with activity holding up, this prompts a change of RBA call. We no longer forecast RBA cuts in November and February”. They will issue a full update of their view on Friday. They recommended paying November ‘25 RBA-dated OIS alongside this call change.

EURIBOR OPTIONS: Ratio Put Spread Strip

Sep-24 08:31

0RZ5 97.9375/97.75ps 1x2 with 2RZ5 97.75/97.625 ps 1x2, sold the strip at 2.25 in 2.5k.

EURIBOR OPTIONS: Call Spread Buyer

Sep-24 08:24

ERM6 98.25/98.37cs, bought for 2.25 in 10k.