GBPUSD TECHS: Uptrend Remains Intact

Jan-29 18:30

* RES 4: 1.4021 1.236 proj of the Nov 4 - Jan 6 - Jan 19 price swing * RES 3: 1.3913 High Sep 14 202...

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BONDS: EGBs-GILTS CASH CLOSE: EGBs End 2025 On Soft Note

Dec-30 18:27

European yields rose slightly Tuesday, in the final cash trading session of the year for EGBs.

  • With little impactful data or headlines in the session to catalyse direction, intraday moves were largely flow-related, with yields content to trend higher overall.
  • In the only major European data of the session, Spain December headline HICP came in in line with expectations, with the majority of Eurozone countries reporting next week.
  • On the day, both the German and UK curves bear steepened, with Bunds underperforming Gilts.
  • Periphery/semi-core EGB spreads widened slightly.
  • Reminder that while EGBs won't trade again until Friday, there is a shortened session for Gilts Wednesday. There are no data or speakers scheduled until Friday.

Closing Yields / 10-Yr EGB Spreads To Germany

  • Germany: The 2-Yr yield is up 0.6bps at 2.121%, 5-Yr is up 1.8bps at 2.448%, 10-Yr is up 2.6bps at 2.855%, and 30-Yr is up 1.7bps at 3.476%.
  • UK: The 2-Yr yield is up 0.8bps at 3.728%, 5-Yr is down 0.1bps at 3.951%, 10-Yr is up 1.2bps at 4.498%, and 30-Yr is up 1.1bps at 5.227%.
  • Italian BTP spread up 2.1bps at 69.6bps / French OAT up 0.8bps at 70.5bps 

US: FED Reverse Repo Operation

Dec-30 18:18

RRP usage inches up to $12.605B with 10 counterparties this afternoon vs. Monday's $10.551B. Compares to December 12 low of $0.838B (lowest level since mid-March 2021); this years highest excess liquidity measure: $460.731B on June 30.

reverse repo 12302025

LOOK AHEAD: Wednesday Data Calendar: Weekly Claims, Tsy Bills, Early Close

Dec-30 18:13

Markets close early (1315ET) Wednesday for New Years eve, re-open/electronic trade Thursday evening for Friday's order of business. Tomorrow's shortened session sees Weekly Jobless Claims (0830ET). Followed by US Treasury supply: 4W, 8W & 17W bills at 1130ET.

  • US Data/Speaker Calendar (prior, estimate). All times ET
  • 12/31 0830 Initial Jobless Claims (214k, 220k), Continuing Claims (1.923M, 1.910M)
  • 12/31 1130 US Tsy 4W, 8W & 17W bill auctions
  • Source: Bloomberg Finance L.P. / MNI