2s30s briefly tops 130bp, registering the highest level seen since January ’22.
- The ’22 high (133.8bp) presents the next upside level of note in the spread.
- Moves comes as OATs lead a leg of weakness in long end EGBs.
- Meanwhile, although NY Fed President Williams stresses that the risks to the labour market and inflation are moving closer towards being balanced, along with each Fed meeting being “live” and the need to bring rates down over time, he doesn’t make a strong case for a rate cut in Sep, leaving OIS pricing for that meeting little changed at ~22bp of easing.