Broad General Collateral Rate (BGCR): 3.64% (-0.02), volume: $1.306T
Tri-Party General Collateral Rate (TCR): 3.64% (-0.02), volume: $1.272T
(rate, volume levels reflect prior session)
US DATA: Mortgage Applications Slip Further Despite Latest Spread Tailwind
Dec-24 12:31
MBA composite mortgage applications slipped another -5.0% (sa) last week after the -3.8% in the week prior, on balance more than reversing a refi-driven increase in early December.
Refis fell -5.6% after -3.6% and +14.3%, whilst new purchases fell -3.7% after -2.8% and -2.4%.
Relative levels to 2019 averages: 62% for composite, 66% for new purchases (this peaked at 72% in late November) and 62% for refis (this peaked at 93% in a mid-September spike).
There was little sign of response from a 7bp decline in the 30Y conforming rate to 6.31%, reversing the 5bp increase the week prior to come close to the 6.30% in October that was the lowest since Sep 2024.
There could however be some distortion ahead of Christmas, with an unusually sharp divergence with jumbo rates which increased 8bp on the week to 6.52%. That 21bp spread over conforming was the widest since Oct 2024.
There continues to be an increasingly significant tailwind from narrowing spreads over swap rates, with the 30Y conforming to the average 10Y swap rate spread narrowing 6.5bps to 255bp for a fresh low since Mar 2022.
It compares with the peak of 315bp in May in post-tariff disruption, 285bp averaged in 1Q25 and 302bp averaged in 2024.