EMISSIONS: UKAs Rise On UK Equities Gains 

Aug-27 07:46

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UKAs Dec25 are rising, supported by gains in EUAs and equities, with FTSE100 trending higher as util...

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US TSY OPTIONS: Weekly TY Option

Jul-28 07:45

TY Weekly Option, Friday NFP Expiry:

  • TY 111p, bought for '22 in ~5.11k.

GILTS: Firmer & Flatter

Jul-28 07:42

Gilts follow Bunds higher, with a lack of meaningful domestic news flow leaving macro and cross-market cues at the fore.

  • Futures trade as high as 91.85, last +27 at 91.74.
  • Initial resistance at the 20-day EMA (91.92) goes untested.
  • Initial support comes in at the July 24 low (91.18).
  • The recent recovery from lows has stalled a bearish move.
  • Yields 0.5-3.5bp lower, curve bull flattens.
  • 2s10s and 5s30s still don’t move too far from 75bp & 140bp, respectively.
  • GBP STIRs see a modest dovish shift given the bid in the long end.
  • SONIA futures flat to +2.0, BoE-dated OIS pricing ~46bp of cuts through year-end.
  • GBP750mln medium bucket sales from the BoE’s APF are due today.
  • Elsewhere, focus will fall on macro matters (any ongoing adjustment to the U.S.-EU trade deal and Sino-U.S. discussions in Stockholm).
  • Slightly further out, final UK manufacturing PMI data is due Friday, with nothing in the way of BoEspeak scheduled until next week’s monetary policy decision. The overwhelming consensus looks for a cut at that meeting.
  • On the supply front, the DMO will sell GBP5bln of 4.375% Mar-28 paper tomorrow and GBP300mln of the 3.75% Jul-52 gilt on Wednesday. 

MONTH-END EXTENSIONS: Bond Extensions

Jul-28 07:38

Bloomberg Bonds:

  • US Tsys: +0.06yr (Small).
  • EU Govies: +0.09yr (Decent).
  • UK Govies: +0.22yr (HUGE).