LOOK AHEAD: UK Timeline of Key Events (Times GMT)
| Date | Time | Period | Event |
| 18-Dec | 1200 | --- | Bank Of England Interest Rate |
| 19-Dec | 0001 | Dec | Gfk Monthly Consumer Confidence |
| 19-Dec | 0700 | Nov | Retail Sales / Public Sector Finances |
| 19-Dec | 1100 | Dec | CBI Distributive Trades |
| 19-Dec | 1200 | --- | BOE Market Participants Survey |
| 19-Dec | 1630 | --- | BOE to announce APF Q4 Sales Schedule |
| 22-Dec | 0700 | Q3 | GDP 2nd Est / Quarterly current account balance |
| 02-Jan | 0930 | Dec | S&P Global Manufacturing PMI (f) |
| 05-Jan | 0930 | Nov | BOE Lending to Individuals / M4 |
| 06-Jan | 0001 | Dec | BRC Monthly Shop Price Index |
| 06-Jan | 0930 | Dec | S&P Global Services / Composite PMI (f) |
| 07-Jan | 0930 | Dec | S&P Global/CIPS Construction PMI |
| 13-Jan | 0001 | Dec | BRC-KPMG Shop Sales Monitor |
| 15-Jan | 0700 | Nov | GDP / Services / Production / Trade / Construction |
| 15-Jan | 0930 | --- | BOE Credit Conditions Survey |
| 20-Jan | 0700 | Nov/Dec | Labour Market Report |
| 21-Jan | 0700 | Dec | Consumer Inflation Report / Producer Prices |
| 22-Jan | 0700 | Dec | Public Sector Finances |
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LOOK AHEAD: Eurozone Timeline of Key Events (Times GMT)
| Date | Time | Country | Event |
| 18-Nov | 1000 | EU | ECB Elderson at Banking Supervision Press Conference |
| 19-Nov | 0900 | EU | EZ Current Account |
| 19-Nov | 1000 | EU | EZ HICP Final |
| 20-Nov | 0700 | DE | PPI |
| 20-Nov | 1000 | EU | EZ Construction Output |
| 20-Nov | 1500 | EU | Consumer Confidence Indicator (p) |
| 21-Nov | 0745 | FR | Manufacturing Sentiment |
| 21-Nov | 0800 | EU | ECB de Guindos Remarks/Q&A at Foro Gran Via |
| 21-Nov | 0815 | FR | S&P Global Manuf / Services PMI (p) |
| 21-Nov | 0830 | DE | S&P Global Manuf / Services PMI (p) |
| 21-Nov | 0830 | EU | ECB Lagarde Speech at European Banking Congress |
| 21-Nov | 0900 | EU | S&P Global Manuf / Serv / Comp PMI (p) |
| 21-Nov | 1000 | EU | Negotiated Wage Growth |
| 21-Nov | 1130 | EU | ECB de Guindos Remarks/Q&A at Deusto Business School |
| 22-Nov | 0800 | EU | ECB Lagarde in Roundtable at Austrian National Bank |
| 22-Nov | 1100 | EU | ECB Lagarde Keynote on Fiscal and MonPol |
BOBL TECHS: (Z5) Bearish Cycle
- RES 4: 118.600 High Oct 24
- RES 3: 118.360 High Oct 28
- RES 2: 118.270 High Nov 5 118.360/600 High Oct 28 / 24
- RES 1: 117.960/118.121 Low Nov 10 / 50-day EMA.
- PRICE: 117.920 @ 06:00 GMT Nov 18
- SUP 1: 117.800 Low Nov 17
- SUP 2: 117.710 Low Oct 6
- SUP 3: 117.630 Low Oct 1
- SUP 4: 117.470 Low Sep 15 and a key support
The short-term trend condition in Bobl futures is unchanged, it remains bearish and last week’s sell-off reinforces current conditions. Recent weakness resulted in a breach of 118.043, 61.8% of the Sep 25 - Oct 17 bull cycle. Note that 117.824, the 76.4% retracement, has been pierced. A continuation lower would open 117.630, the Oct 1 low. Initial firm resistance is seen at 118.121, the 50-day EMA.
EQUITY TECHS: E-MINI S&P: (Z5) Bear Leg Extends
- RES 4: 6993.12 3.500 proj of the Aug 20 - 28 - Sep 2 price swing
- RES 3: 6953.75 High Oct 30 and bull trigger
- RES 2: 6900.50 High Nov 12
- RES 1: 6793.65 20-day EMA
- PRICE: 6657.00 @ 05:59 GMT Nov 18
- SUP 1: 6638.75 Low Nov 14
- SUP 2: 6571.25 Low Oct 17
- SUP 3: 6540.25 Low Oct 10 and a key support
- SUP 4: 6476.62 23.6% retracement of the Apr 7 - Oct 30 uptrend
S&P E-Minis maintain a softer short-term tone. The below support at 6655.70, the Nov 7 low cancel recent bearish signals and signals scope for an extension of the current corrective cycle. Note that price has also breached support at the 50-day EMA. An extension would open 6540.25, the Oct 10 low and the next key support. Initial firm resistance to watch is 6793.65, the 20-day EMA.
