LOOK AHEAD: UK Timeline of Key Events (Times BST)
| Date | Time | Period | Event |
| 09-Oct | 0930 | --- | BOE Mann Keynote at Resolution Foundation Event |
| 10-Oct | 0001 | --- | KPMG / REC Report on Jobs |
| 13-Oct | 1205 | --- | BOE Greene at Society of Professional Economists |
| 13-Oct | 2010 | --- | BOE Mann in MonPol Panel |
| 14-Oct | 0001 | Sep | BRC-KPMG Shop Sales Monitor |
| 14-Oct | 0700 | Aug/Sep | Labour Market Report |
| 14-Oct | 1300 | --- | BOE Taylor Fireside Chat at University of Cambridge |
| 14-Oct | 1800 | --- | BOE Bailey at Institute of International Finance |
| 15-Oct | 0900 | --- | BOE Ramsden Panel at Resolution Mechanism Conference |
| 15-Oct | 1645 | --- | BOE Breeden in Panel on Financial Regulation |
| 15-Oct | 1900 | --- | BOE Breeden in Panel at Fintech Foundation |
| 16-Oct | 0700 | Aug | GDP / Services / Production / Trade / Construction |
| 16-Oct | 0930 | --- | BOE Credit Conditions Survey |
| 16-Oct | 1400 | --- | BOE Mann in Panel on MonPol and Trade Shocks |
| 16-Oct | 1545 | --- | BOE Mann in MonPol Panel at IMF/World Bank Meetings |
| 16-Oct | 1930 | --- | BOE Greene in Panel on UK/EU Relations |
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BOBL TECHS: (Z5) Recovery Extends
- RES 4: 118.635 1.500 proj of the Aug 25 - 28 - Sep 2 price swing
- RES 3: 118.561 1.382 proj of the Aug 25 - 28 - Sep 2 price swing
- RES 2: 118.469 1.236 proj of the Aug 25 - 28 - Sep 2 price swing
- RES 1: 118.350 High Sep 5
- PRICE: 118.310 @ 05:55 BST Sep 9
- SUP 1: 117.920 Low Sep 4
- SUP 2: 117.690 Low Sep 2
- SUP 3: 117.630 Low Aug 25 and a key short-term support
- SUP 4: 117.481 123.6% retracement projection of Aug 25 - 28 rally
Bobl futures rallied Friday and again yesterday. The contract has breached resistance at 118.260, the Aug 28 high. A breach of this level undermines the recent bearish theme and signals scope for a stronger recovery towards 118.469, a Fibonacci projection. On the downside, initial support to watch lies at 117.920, the Sep 4 low. A break of this level would highlight a reversal and instead expose 117.690, the Sep 2 low.
LOOK AHEAD: Eurozone Timeline of Key Events (Times BST)
| Date | Time | Country | Event |
| 09-Sep | 0745 | FR | Industrial Production |
| 10-Sep | 0800 | ES | Industrial Production |
| 10-Sep | 0900 | IT | Industrial Production |
| 11-Sep | 1315 | EU | ECB Rate Decision |
| 11-Sep | 1345 | EU | ECB Press Conference |
| 11-Sep | 1515 | EU | ECB Lagarde Presents Rate Decision on ECB Podcast |
| 12-Sep | 0700 | DE | Germany CPI (f) |
| 12-Sep | 0745 | FR | HICP (f) |
| 12-Sep | 0800 | ES | HICP (f) |
| 12-Sep | 1000 | EU | Labour Market Quarterly Statistics |
| 15-Sep | 1000 | EU | Trade Balance |
| 15-Sep | 1910 | EU | ECB Lagarde at Institut Montaigne Paris |
| 16-Sep | 0900 | IT | HICP (f) |
| 16-Sep | 1000 | DE | ZEW Current Expectations Index |
| 16-Sep | 1000 | EU | EZ Industrial Production |
EURUSD TECHS: Approaching The Bull Trigger
- RES 4: 1.1923 2.00 proj of the Feb 28 - Mar 18 - 247 price swing
- RES 3: 1.1851 High Sep 10 2021
- RES 2: 1.1829 High Jul 01 and the bull trigger
- RES 1: 1.1789 High Jul 24
- PRICE: 1.1776 @ 06:10 BST Sep 9
- SUP 1: 1.1671/25 20-and 50-day EMA values
- SUP 2: 1.1574/1.1528 Low Aug 27 / Low Aug 5
- SUP 3: 1.1392 Low Aug 1 and bear trigger
- SUP 4: 1.1373 Low Jun 10
The trend theme in EURUSD remains bullish. This week’s move higher reinforces current conditions and confirms a clear breach of 1.1743, the Aug 22 high. This highlights a short-term bullish development and signals scope for an extension towards 1.1829, the Jul 01 high and bull trigger. Support to watch is around the 50-day EMA, at 1.1625. A clear breach of this average would signal scope for a deeper retracement.
