RENEWABLES: UK Morning Wind Forecast
See the latest UK renewables forecast for base-load hours for the next seven days. UK wind output is expected to climb sharply towards the end of next week, ranging between 51-62% load factors over 23-25 October.
UK: Wind for 18-25 October
- 18 October: 6.34GW
- 19 October: 15.59GW
- 20 October: 9.96GW
- 21 October: 11.21GW
- 22 October: 8.82GW
- 23 October: 17.92GW
- 24 October: 16.24GW
25 October: 14.66GW
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GILTS: Opening calls
- Gilt calls, 91.45/91.50.
These DO NOT take the CPI into account, given that Sonia is a tick up, small upside risk, but should be close.
USDCAD TECHS: Strong Sell-Off Exposes Support
- RES 4: 1.4019 38.2% retracement of the Feb 3 - Jun 16 bear leg
- RES 3: 1.3925 High Aug 22 and the bull trigger
- RES 2: 1.3890 High Sep 11
- RES 1: 1.3803 20-day EMA
- PRICE: 1.3751 @ 07:56 BST Sep 17
- SUP 1: 1.3727 Low Aug 29 and a bear trigger
- SUP 2: 1.3709 61.8% retracement of the Jul 23 - Aug 22 bull cycle
- SUP 3: 1.3658 76.4% retracement of the Jul 23 - Aug 22 bull cycle
- SUP 4: 1.3637 Low Jul 25
A sharp sell-off in USDCAD this week has resulted in a break of the 20-and-50-day EMAs. This undermines a recent bullish theme and a continuation lower would expose key short-term support at 1.3727, the Aug 27 low. A break of this level would strengthen a bearish threat. For bulls, resistance levels to watch are; 1.3890, the Sep 11 high, and 1.3925, the Aug 22 high and bull trigger.
US TSY OPTIONS: TYX5 112.50 Puts Lifted
TYX5 112.50 puts paper paid 0-21 on 4K.
