US 10YR FUTURE TECHS: (U5) Support Has Been Breached
- RES 4: 112-15 61.8% retracement of the Apr 7 - 11 sell-off
- RES 3: 112-12+ High Jul 1 and a bull trigger
- RES 2: 111-13+/111-28 High Jul 10 / High Jul 3
- RES 1: 111-01 20-day EMA
- PRICE: 110-14+ @ 17:18 BST Jul 16
- SUP 1: 110-08+ Low Jul 14 & 16
- SUP 2: 110-03 76.4% retracement of the May 22 - Jul 1 bull leg
- SUP 3: 109-28 Low Jun 6 and 11
- SUP 4: 109.25 Low May 27
Treasury futures traded lower yesterday, but held just above lows through the Wednesday session. The contract has breached an important support at 110-17, 61.8% of the May 22 - Jul 1 bull leg. Note that price has also traded through a trendline support at 110-23+. The line is drawn from the May 22 low. This strengthens a bearish theme and a continuation would open 110-03, the 76.4% retracement. Resistance to watch is 111-13+, Jul 10 high. Initial resistance is at 111-01, the 20-day EMA.
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US TSYS/SUPPLY: Preview 20Y Auction Re-Open
Tsy futures remain mildly higher ahead of the $13B 20Y bond auction re-open (912810UL0) at 1300ET, WI is currently at 4.932%, 11.5bp rich to last month's tail. Today's results will be available shortly after the competitive auctions closes at 1300ET.
- May auction recap: Treasury futures extended lows (TYM5 109-23.5 -15) after the $16B 20Y Bond auction (912810UL0) tailed, drawing a high yield of 5.047% vs 5.035% When-Issued yield at the cutoff; 2.46x bid-to-cover vs. 2.63x prior.
- Peripheral stats: indirect take-up at 69.02% vs. 70.7% prior; direct bidder take-up 14.07% from 12.3% prior; primary dealer take-up of 16.91% vs. 17.0% prior.
SOFR OPTIONS: Latest Call Structures
- Update, total 20,000 0QZ5 96.75/97.00/97.50/97.75 call condors, 6.0 ref 96.72/0.05%
- Block, 5,000 SFRV5 95.75/95.93/96.50 broken call trees, 2.5 net ref 96.125
OPTIONS: Expiries for Jun17 NY cut 1000ET (Source DTCC)
- EUR/USD: $1.1625(E1.3bln)
