US TSYS: TU Blocked

Jun-27 21:03

Latest block trade lodged at 21:09:56 London/ 16:09:56 NY

  • TUU3 7k lots blocked at 101-29 5/8, looks like a seller

Historical bullets

US: Debt Ceiling Deal Done "In Principle"; X Date Pushed to June 5

May-28 20:02
  • Wires reported a bipartisan agreement to suspend the debt limit for the next two years while keeping non-defense spending flat for the next year (+1% in the second year) was announced Saturday.
  • Now comes the hard part: securing support from enough lawmakers on both sides of the aisle. The NY Times writes Republican "lawmakers have a history of doing everything they can to block spending deals they disapprove of. They could do so again, and they have sufficient power to kill the deal because McCarthy has only a nine-vote majority."
  • Short "X-Date" reprieve: Focus has been on reaching a deal before the government would run out of cash to honor it's debt obligations, estimated at around June 1. In a late Friday letter to House Speaker McCarthy, Treasury Secretary Yellen stated the deadline has been extended to June 5.
  • "During the week of June 5, Treasury is scheduled to make an estimated $92 billion of payments and transfers, including a regularly scheduled quarterly adjustment that would result in an investment in the Social Security and Medicare trust funds of roughly $36 billion. Therefore, our projected resources would be inadequate to satisfy all of these obligations."

US: Debt Ceiling Deal Has Been Reached

May-28 01:10

NY Times reported negotiators reached a deal "in principle to raise the debt limit for two years while cutting and capping some government spending over the same period, a breakthrough after a marathon set of crisis talks that has brought the nation within days of its first default in history, three people familiar with the agreement said."

JGB TECHS: (M3) Corrects Lower

May-26 22:45
  • RES 3: 151.26 - High Mar 3 2022
  • RES 2: 149.75/150.81 - High Nov 11 / High Aug 5 2022
  • RES 1: 149.53 High Mar 22
  • PRICE: 148.53 @ 16:25 BST May 26
  • SUP 1: 147.31/27 - 50-day EMA / Low Apr 18
  • SUP 2: 145.80/144.73 - Low Mar 13 / Low Feb 13
  • SUP 3: 144.15 - Low Jan 13

JGBs slid sharply Thursday, as hawkish Ueda comments prompted a correction. The bounce Friday helped stall any more protracted pullback, although the gap with next resistance at 149.17 remains. The strong recovery from 147.27, the Apr 18 low confirms the corrective nature of the recent pullback, keeping medium-term attention on 149.53, the Mar 22 high and the bull trigger. A break of this level would confirm a resumption of the uptrend. To the downside, the 50-dma provides support at 147.31, just above the Apr 18 low.