US-RUSSIA: Trump Has 'Plenty Of Tools' To End Ukraine War - White House

Aug-14 12:51

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White House Press Secretary Karoline Leavitt has provided a short update to Fox News on the upcoming...

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SOFR OPTIONS: BLOCK: Sep'25 SOFR Put Buy

Jul-15 12:50
  • +20,000 SFRU5 95.62 puts, cab (0.25) - in pieces from 0842:20ET to 0843:06ET

US TSY FUTURES: BLOCKs: Sep'25 2Y Buy, 10Y Ultra Sale

Jul-15 12:42
  • Separate Blocks:
  • +9,000 TUU5 103-21.38, buy through 103-20.88 post time offer at 0834:00ET, DV01 $340,000
  • -4,000 UXYU5 112-22, sell through 112-23 post time bid at 0835:23ET, DV01 $345,000

US DATA: Core Services Keep June Inflation On The Cool Side

Jul-15 12:41

The softer-than-expected core reading in June  (0.23% M/M vs 0.29% MNI median, 0.13% prior) comes with higher core goods prices than expected (0.20% M/M vs 0.19% MNI median, -0.04% prior), but that's outweighed by core services slightly on the light side (0.25% M/M vs 0.27% MNI median, 0.17% prior).  

  • First on services. As noted, supercore was overall on the soft side at 0.21% (0.24% MNI median, 0.06% prior): lodging prices were significantly softer than expected (-2.9% vs -0.3% median, -0.1% prior), with auto insurance also on the soft side (0.1% vs 0.7% median, 0.7% prior). Airfares were higher than expected (-0.1% vs 0.5% median, -2.7% prior) but this isn't included in PCE; recreation services ticked up to +0.2% M/M from -0.1% (no consensus).
  • OER was largely in line (0.30% vs 0.29% median, 0.27% prior), but rents picked up less than expected (0.21% vs 0.26% median).
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