COMMODITIES: Trend Condition in WTI Futures Unchanged and Bearish

Sep-19 08:58

The trend condition in WTI futures is unchanged - a bear cycle remains intact and the latest recovery is considered corrective. The pullback from the Sep 2 high highlights a possible reversal and the end of a corrective phase between Aug 13 - Sep 2. Initial resistance to watch is $66.03, the Sep 2 high. Key short-term resistance has been defined at $69.36, the Jul 30 high. A stronger resumption of weakness would open $57.71, the May 30 low. Gold remains in a clear bull cycle and short-term weakness is for now, considered corrective. A fresh all-time high, once again this week, confirms a resumption of the primary uptrend and an extension of the sequence of higher highs and higher lows. The next objective is $3705.2, a Fibonacci projection. Initial firm support lies at $3566.6, the 20-day EMA. Note that MA studies are in a bull-mode position, highlighting a dominant uptrend.

  • WTI Crude down $0.49 or -0.77% at $63.08
  • Natural Gas down $0.01 or -0.48% at $2.925
  • Gold spot up $11.14 or +0.31% at $3655.46
  • Copper up $1.3 or +0.28% at $461.35
  • Silver up $0.41 or +0.98% at $42.2442
  • Platinum up $7 or +0.5% at $1393.56

Historical bullets

BTP: Blcok trade

Aug-20 08:56

BTP Block trade, suggest Buyer:

  • IKU5 ~1.12k at 120.44.

EGB OPTIONS: Large Bund Put Condor vs Call Spread

Aug-20 08:53

RXV5 127.5/126.5/125.5/123p condor vs 130/131.5 cs, bought the Condor for 2 and 3 in 10k.

EGB SYNDICATION: Finland New 7-year Apr-32 RFGB: Spread set

Aug-20 08:50
  • Spread set at MS + 29bp (guidance was MS + 31bps area)
  • Size: EUR Benchmark (MNI expects E3bln but upsizing to E4bln is possible)
  • Books in excess of E27bln (inc E2.25bln JLM interest)
  • Maturity: 15 April 2032
  • Coupon: Short first
  • Settlement: 28 August 2025 (T+6)
  • ISIN: FI4000591862
  • Bookrunners: Barclays (DM/B&D) / Bofa Securities / Danske Bank / Deutsche Bank / J.P. Morgan
  • Timing: Books to close at 10:30BST / 11:30CET
From market source / MNI colour