Recent weakness in WTI futures highlights a bearish theme. A stronger resumption of the bear leg would pave the way for a move towards key support and the bear trigger at $55.99, the Oct 20 low. Clearance of this level would resume the downtrend. Note that it is still possible a bullish corrective cycle remains in play. Resistance to watch is $61.84, the Oct 24 high. A clear break of this hurdle would signal scope for a stronger correction. The trend condition in Gold is unchanged, it remains bullish and the bear phase between Oct 20 and 28 appears to have been a correction. This allowed a recent overbought condition to unwind. Key support to watch lies at the 50-day EMA, at $3974.4. Clearance of this EMA would signal scope for a deeper retracement. The first short-term bull trigger has been defined at $4245.23, the Nov 13 high.
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SFIH6 96.35/96.25ps 1x2, bought for 0.25 in 1.5k.
| Type | 3-month ATB | 6-month ATB |
| Maturity | Jan 29, 2026 | Apr 30, 2026 |
| Allotted | E1bln | E1bln |
| Previous | E1.68bln | E1.123bln |
| Amount | E1bln | E1bln |
| Target | E1.0bln | E1.0bln |
| Previous | E2bln | E1.25bln |
| Avg yield | 1.925% | 1.948% |
| Previous | 1.940% | 1.940% |
| Bid-to-cover | 2.17x | 1.81x |
| Previous | 1.78x | 1.82x |
| Bid-to-offer | 2.17x | 1.81x |
| Previous | 1.5x | 1.64x |
| Previous date | Aug 26, 2025 | Sep 23, 2025 |
Looking back on the 17th October, the Dec was also sold: