LNG: Total Plays Down Russian Gas return to Europe in next 12 months

Apr-30 16:06

TotalEnergies CEO Patrick Pouyanne dismissed the likelihood of large-scale Russian gas returning to Europe, emphasising that US LNG is better positioned to fill the supply gap, Platts reported.

  • "I don't see much space today politically to take a lot of Russian gas -- I think it's more US LNG which will come than Russian gas in Europe," Pouyanne said, cited by Platts.
  • "And over the next 12 months, I can even confirm that I will be very surprised to see suddenly a lot of Russian gas coming to Europe. It will take time. It's also a matter of trust between customers and producers," he added.
  • Russian gas to Europe is now limited to the 15.75 Bcm/y TurkStream pipeline and via LNG.
  • US LNG has dominated EU imports in 2025, supplying over 20, mt, or 53% of total LNG.
  • Pouyanne noted European support for US LNG, particularly from the new German coalition.
  • The EU will outline phasing out Russian fossil fuels on May 6.

Historical bullets

MNI: USDA: CORN STOCKS 8,151M BSL ON MAR 1

Mar-31 16:00
  • USDA: CORN STOCKS 8,151M BSL ON MAR 1
  • USDA: ALL WHEAT STOCKS 1,237M BSL ON MAR 1
  • USDA: SOYBEAN STOCKS 1,910M BSL ON MAR 1

LOOK AHEAD: Tuesday Data Calendar: Fed Speak, JOLTS, ISMs, Regional Fed Data

Mar-31 15:59
  • US Data/Speaker Calendar (prior, estimate)
  • 01-Apr 0900 Richmond Fed Barkin economic outlook
  • 01-Apr 0945 S&P Global US Mfg PMI (49.8, 49.9)
  • 01-Apr 1000 Construction Spending MoM (-0.2%, 0.3%)
  • 01-Apr 1000 JOLTS Job Openings (7.74M, 7.652M), Rate (4.6%, 4.6%)
  • 01-Apr 1000 JOLTS Quits Level (3.266M, 3.186M), Rate (2.1%, --)
  • 01-Apr 1000 ISM Manufacturing (50.3, 49.5)
  • 01-Apr 1000 ISM Prices Paid (62.4, 64.6)
  • 01-Apr 1000 ISM New Orders (48.6, --)
  • 01-Apr 1000 ISM Employment (47.6, --)
  • 01-Apr 1030 Dallas Fed Services Activity (4.6, --)
  • 01-Apr 1130 US Tsy $70B 6W bill & $50B 14D CMB auctions

NORWAY: Union Wage Negotiations Look In Keeping With NB Forecasts

Mar-31 15:53
  • Some colour for this month's 2025 union wage negotiations, which look in keeping with broader wage growth projections for the year and shouldn't move the needle too much in Norges Bank forecasts:

“*NORWAY UNIONS, EMPLOYERS REACH DEAL ON 4.4% WAGE RISE

*NORWAY LO UNION ORGANIZATION COMMENTS ON WAGE DEAL ON WEBSITE” - bbg

  • The Norges Bank MPR from last week saw wage growth declining to 4.5% in 2025, raised 0.3pp from the December projection, after 5.6% in 2024.
  • Separately, its Regional Network Survey from Mar 20 saw wage growth expectations for 2025 trimmed a touch from 4.5% to 4.4%, whilst its Expectations Survey showed social partners expecting 4.1%.