UK: Timeline of key events (Times BST)
Sep-08 05:23
| Date | Time | Period | Event |
| 12-Sep | 0700 | Jul | Trade Balance / Production / Services / Construction / GDP (m) |
| 13-Sep | 0700 | Jul | Labour Market Survey |
| 14-Sep | 0700 | Aug | Producer Prices / Consumer Inflation Report |
| 14-Sep | 0930 | Aug | ONS House Price Index |
| 15-Sep | 1200 | ---- | Bank Of England Interest Rate |
| 16-Sep | 0700 | Aug | Retail Sales |
| 21-Sep | 0700 | Aug | Public Sector Finances |
| 23-Sep | 0001 | Sep | Gfk Monthly Consumer Confidence |
| 23-Sep | 0930 | Sep | S&P Global Manufacturing/Services/Composite PMI (p) |
| 28-Sep | 0001 | Sep | BRC Monthly Shop Price Index |
| 30-Sep | 0700 | Q2 | Quarterly Current Account / GDP Estimate |
| 11-Oct | 0001 | Sep | BRC-KPMG Shop Sales Monitor |
| 21-Oct | 0001 | Oct | Gfk Monthly Consumer Confidence |
| 27-Oct | 0001 | Oct | BRC Monthly Shop Price Index |
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UK: Timeline of key events (Times BST)
Aug-09 05:23
| Date | Time | Period | Event |
| 11-Aug | 0001 | Jul | RICS House Prices |
| 12-Aug | 0700 | Jun | IP/Construction/Trade/Services/Monthly GDP |
| 16-Aug | 0700 | Jun | Labour Market Survey / GDP estimate |
| 17-Aug | 0700 | Jul | Producer Prices / Consumer Inflation Report |
| 17-Aug | 0930 | Jul | ONS House Price Index |
| 19-Aug | 0001 | Aug | Gfk Monthly Consumer Confidence |
| 19-Aug | 0700 | Jul | Retail Sales / Public Sector Finances |
| 23-Aug | 0930 | Aug | IHS Markit Mfg / Services / Composite PMI (flash) |
| 31-Aug | 0001 | Aug | BRC Monthly Shop Price Index |
| 06-Sep | 0001 | Aug | BRC-KPMG Shop Sales Monitor |
| 13-Sep | 0700 | Jul | Labour Market Survey |
| 14-Sep | 0700 | Aug | Producer Prices / Consumer Inflation Report |
| 14-Sep | 0930 | Aug | ONS House Price Index |
| 15-Sep | 1200 | ---- | Bank Of England Interest Rate |
GBPUSD TECHS: Corrective Pullback
Aug-09 05:22
- RES 4: 1.2518 High Jun 6
- RES 3: 1.2406 High Jun 16 and a key resistance
- RES 2: 1.2332 High Jun 27
- RES 1: 1.2194/2293 50-day EMA / High Aug 01
- PRICE: 1.2085 @ 06:20 BST Aug 9
- SUP 1: 1.2004 Low Aug 5
- SUP 2: 1.1961 Low Jul 25
- SUP 3: 1.1890/1760 Low Jul 21 / Low Jul 14 and the bear trigger
- SUP 4: 1.1673 1.00 proj of the May 27 - Jun 14 - 16 price swing
GBPUSD remains below its recent highs. A bullish short-term theme is intact and the latest pullback is considered corrective. Price has recently traded above the 50-day EMA. This reinforced short-term bullish conditions and has opened 1.2332, the Jun 27 high. Potential is also seen for a climb towards 1.2406, the Jun 16 high and a key resistance. Initial support to watch is 1.2004, Friday’s low.
JGBS: Flatter, Even As 30-Year Auction Presents A Soft Outcome
Aug-09 05:18
Tuesday provided a relatively subdued round of trade for the JGB space.
- The JGB curve has bull flattened, initially playing catch up to Monday’s move in Tsys, with the flattening impetus extending through the day. The major cash benchmarks run little changed to ~4bp richer across the curve.
- Meanwhile, JGB futures have coiled, last +12, sticking to a tight range since the Tokyo re-open, failing to challenge their overnight session peak.
- Local headline flow has been limited, outside of speculation surrounding the impending government cabinet reshuffle.
- A soft round of 30-Year JGB supply saw the low price miss wider expectations, with the width of the tail widening a touch and cover ratio moving to the lowest level observed at a 30-Year JGB auction since October ’21. It would seem that the degree of the move away from outright cycle cheaps and pre-action richening provided enough of a reason for the lifer & pension community to stay on the sidelines. 30s saw some incremental cheapening post-auction, while JGB futures move a couple of ticks lower, before a bid came back in.
- Looking ahead, PPI data and BoJ Rinban operations covering 1- to 10-Year JGBs headline the domestic docket on Wednesday.
