LOOK AHEAD: Thursday Data Calendar: Weekly Claims, Unit Labor Cost, Fed Speakers

Jun-04 17:03

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* US Data/Speaker Calendar (prior, estimate) * 05-Jun 0700 Challenger Job Cuts YoY (62.7%, --) * 05-...

Historical bullets

FED: US TSY 3Y NOTE AUCTION: HIGH YLD 3.824%; ALLOTMENT 23.89%

May-05 17:02
  • US TSY 3Y NOTE AUCTION: HIGH YLD 3.824%; ALLOTMENT 23.89%
  • US TSY 3Y NOTE AUCTION: DEALERS TAKE 13.92% OF COMPETITIVES
  • US TSY 3Y NOTE AUCTION: DIRECTS TAKE 23.71% OF COMPETITIVES
  • US TSY 3Y NOTE AUCTION: INDIRECTS TAKE 62.37% OF COMPETITIVES
  • US TSY 3Y AUCTION: BID/CVR 2.56

EURUSD TECHS: Corrective Cycle Remains In Play

May-05 17:00
  • RES 4: 1.1696 1.618 proj of the Feb 28 - Mar 18 - 27 price swing 
  • RES 3: 1.1625 1.500 proj of the Feb 28 - Mar 18 - 27 price swing
  • RES 2: 1.1608 High Nov 9 2021
  • RES 1: 1.1440/1573 High Apr 23 / 21 and the bull trigger  
  • PRICE: 1.1353 @ 14:59 BST May 5
  • SUP 1: 1.1264 20-day EMA and a key support
  • SUP 2: 1.1144 High APr 3    
  • SUP 3: 1.1036 50-day EMA and a pivot level     
  • SUP 4: 1.0805 Low Apr 3  

A corrective cycle in EURUSD remains in play. The trend structure is unchanged, it remains bullish. MA studies are in a bull-mode position  signalling a dominant uptrend, and the latest move down is allowing an overbought condition to unwind. A resumption of gains would open 1.1608, the Nov 9 2021 high. Initial key support to watch is the 20-day EMA, at 1.1264. A break of this average would signal scope for a deeper pullback. 

PIPELINE: Corporate Bond Update: Guidance Update

May-05 16:49

Expect corporate supply to issue soon after this afternoon's Tsy 3Y auction at the top of the hour.

  • Date $MM Issuer (Priced *, Launch #)
  • 05/05 $1.3B DTE Electric $300M 2Y +45, $500M 10Y +93, $500M 30Y +103
  • 05/05 $Benchmark Apple Inc 3Y +25, 5Y +30, 7Y +40, 10Y +50
  • 05/05 $Benchmark Comcast 7Y +85, 10Y +100, 30Y +122
  • 05/05 $Benchmark General Motors 3Y +155, 5Y +170, 10Y +195
  • 05/05 $Benchmark American Int Group 5Y +95, 10Y +112
  • 05/05 $Benchmark Prologis +5Y +85, 10Y +103
  • 05/05 $Benchmark ADP 7Y +63