EM LATAM CREDIT: Telefonica Moviles Chile Fitch Downgrade - Negative

Jun-05 16:32

(MOVCHI; -/BBneg/BB-neg)

"Fitch Downgrades Telefónica Móviles Chile to 'BB-'; Outlook Negative" - FitchRatings

Downgrade from BBB- and left outlook negative as the rating agency cites increased leverage to 5x in 2024 and 6.6x in 1Q 2025 due to lower EBITDA generation.

Concerns about the ability to deleverage persist given strong competition and despite dividend and capital expenditure reductions. Fitch forecasts net leverage of 4.7x in 2025 and cash burn so there seems to be a risk of a further downgrade in the next 12 months if the company cannot reduce their net leverage below 4.7x.

Historical bullets

FOREX: USDCAD Pressing Towards Cycle Lows Amid Trump Comments

May-06 16:28
  • There has been limited reaction in the currency markets to the latest rhetoric from US President Trump, speaking with Mark Carney at the Whie House. The pop higher for equities, albeit brief, provides a bit of support for USDJPY’s intra-day recovery, momentarily rising above 143.00 before trading lower once more.
  • It’s the comments on USMCA that potentially provide a bit more significance, as President Trump voices an opinion that it’s still very effective, and suggests he doesn’t know if it’s necessary to renegotiate the agreement anymore.
  • Both MXN and CAD have traded to session highs on the back of this, with USDMXN largely respecting the short-term range between 19.55/75 and USDCAD narrowing the gap to last Friday’s (and cycle) lows of 1.3760.
  • Potential is seen for a move towards 1.3744, a Fibonacci retracement. Note that moving average studies are in a bear mode position, highlighting a dominant downtrend for USDCAD.

TRUMP SAYS HE RESPECTS CARNEY, WANTS BETTER CANADA TRADE DEAL

May-06 16:25
  • TRUMP SAYS HE RESPECTS CARNEY, WANTS BETTER CANADA TRADE DEAL
  • TRUMP: WON'T RAISE CANADA AS 51ST STATE IN CARNEY MEETING

US TSYS/SUPPLY: Preview: 10Y Auction

May-06 16:25
  • Treasury futures are holding mixed ahead midday ahead of the $42B 10Y Note auction (91282CNC1) at the top of the hour, WI currently 4.362%, 7.3bp rich to last month's stop.
  • April auction recap: Treasury futures pared losses after the $39B 10Y note auction reopen (91282CMM0) stopped through again: drawing 4.435% high yield vs. 4.467% WI; 2.67x bid-to-cover vs. 2.59x prior.
  • Peripheral stats: indirect take-up climbed to high of 87.90% vs. 67.41% prior; direct bidder take-up fell to record low of 1.4% from 19.51% prior; primary dealer take-up 10.7% vs. 13.08% prior.