EM CEEMEA CREDIT: Tauron: H125 Results - stable leverage and FCF

Sep-17 13:31

 (TPEPW: -/-/BBB-)

  • Working capital continues to weight on cashflow generation, but leverage and FCF are stable. We see the results as supportive for Tauron’s credit profile and spreads.
  • Tauron Q2 25 total revenues +1.95% y/y at PLN7.35bn, main difference came from the lower margin wholesale division +22.6% y/y.  Group EBITDA +14.7% y/y, with stronger contributions across all the segments except for the low margin volatile wholesale unit where EBITDA more than halved, which is not alarming.
  • Working capital outflow of PLN868mn in 1H 25 resulted in operating cashflow of PLN2.95bn and capex of PLN2.6bn resulted in marginal FCF.  Net debt was marginally flat q/q at PLN13.6bn and non-adj leveraged marginally lower at 2.5x sequentially.

Historical bullets

US SWAPS: J.P.Morgan Recommend 2-Year Spread Wideners

Aug-18 13:26

Late on Friday J.P.Morgan recommended 2-Year swap spread wideners.

  • They reasoned that “swap spread volatility is back to year-to-date lows, making wideners attractive from a carry perspective. The 2-Year sector also offers the most favorable risk-adjusted carry relative to other sectors. Moreover, T-Bill supply in July was well digested from money funds and demand is likely to continue, which will likely keep funding conditions orderly through the remainder of the TGA rebuild phase. Lastly, front end swap spreads appear narrow to fair value”.

US TSY FUTURES: BLOCK: Sep'25 10Y Buy

Aug-18 13:08
  • +9,000 TYU5 111-24.5, buy through 111-24 post-time offer at 0859:52ET, DV01 $796,000.
  • The 10Y contract trades 111-23 last (+4).

MIDEAST: Trump Stresses Need To Destroy Hamas

Aug-18 13:07

U.S. President Trump posts the following to Truth Social: "We will only see the return of the remaining hostages when Hamas is confronted and destroyed!!! The sooner this takes place, the better the chances of success will be. Remember, I was the one who negotiated and got hundreds of hostages freed and released into Israel (and America!). I was the one who ended 6 wars, in just 6 months. I was the one who OBLITERATED Iran’s Nuclear facilities. Play to WIN, or don’t play at all! Thank you for your attention to this matter! President DJT"