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Looking a bit closer at the state-level German CPI March data released this morning, core and services inflation appear to have slowed, while for goods the data points towards broadly a stable Y/Y rate, if not a slight uptick. Overall, analysts' expectations ahead of the release appear to have broadly materialized in March; these were for deceleration in the (key) services category (on the back of both lower momentum as well as base effects) .
OI data suggests that net long setting in FV and UXY futures comfortably outweighed net short cover in TU, TY, US & WN futures during Friday’s rally.
| 28-Mar-25 | 27-Mar-25 | Daily OI Change | OI DV01 Equivalent Change ($) |
TU | 3,909,210 | 3,939,976 | -30,766 | -1,187,061 |
FV | 6,542,114 | 6,436,119 | +105,995 | +4,635,242 |
TY | 4,946,319 | 4,952,115 | -5,796 | -374,682 |
UXY | 2,304,818 | 2,288,507 | +16,311 | +1,463,918 |
US | 1,802,689 | 1,804,438 | -1,749 | -230,609 |
WN | 1,789,756 | 1,792,826 | -3,070 | -594,090 |
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| Total | +80,925 | +3,712,717 |