SILVER TECHS: Structure Remains Bullish

May-01 07:46
  • RES 4: $36.000 - Round number resistance 
  • RES 3: $34.903 - High Oct 23 ‘24 and the bull trigger
  • RES 2: $34.590 - High Mar 28  
  • RES 1: $33.686 - High Apr 25                                        
  • PRICE: $32.130 @ 08:37 BST May 1
  • SUP 1: $31.977 -  Low May 1
  • SUP 2: $30.577/28.351 - Low Apr 10 / 7 and the bear trigger
  • SUP 3: $27.686 - Low Sep 6 ‘24   
  • SUP 4: $27.180 - Low Aug 14 ‘24   

A strong rally in Silver on Apr 23 reinforces the current bullish theme and the metal is holding on to the bulk of its latest gains. Price has cleared $33.117, 76.4% of the Mar 28 - Apr 7 bear leg. This paves the way for a climb towards $34.590, the Mar 28 high. On the downside, initial firm support at $32.087, the Apr 17 low, is being tested. A material break of this level would undermine the bull cycle and highlight a potential reversal.

Historical bullets

MNI: ITALY MAR MANUFACTURING PMI 46.6 (FCST: 48.0); FEB 47.4

Apr-01 07:45
  • MNI: ITALY MAR MANUFACTURING PMI 46.6 (FCST: 48.0); FEB 47.4

EGBS: Spreads To Bunds Little Changed

Apr-01 07:36

Spreads vs. Bunds within 1bp of yesterday’s closing levels.

  • Initial spread tightening was aided by the Euro Stoxx 50 ticking further away from yesterday’s lows, but that bid has started to fade.
  • Spanish manufacturing PMI a little softer than-expected, with SPGBs ~0.5bp wider vs. Bunds since the release (as much of a broader sentiment move as Spanish PMI driven).
  • OAT/Bunds consolidates the recent move back above 70bp, with French political and fiscal uncertainty set to remain in play, despite Le Pen’s guilty verdict (she has been suspended from running in elections for 5 years but is appealing).

BONDS: Futures have extended gains in early trade

Apr-01 07:34
  • US Treasuries and European Govies have extended gains since the European open, albeit off their respective highs in Europe,looking at the 10yr Tnotes (TYM5), some desks will look at the March high of 112.01 for the next upside resistance.
  • In Yield terms, the March low at 4.1040% would equate to 112.04 Today.