AUDUSD TECHS: Strong Reversal

Dec-16 07:09
  • RES 4: 0.6976 2.00 proj of the Oct 13 - 27 - Nov 3 price swing
  • RES 3: 0.6956 High Aug 30
  • RES 2: 0.6909 76.4% retracement of the Aug 11 - Oct 13 downleg
  • RES 1: 0.6893 High Dec 13 and the bull trigger
  • PRICE: 0.6713 @ 07:07 GMT Dec 16
  • SUP 1: 0.6677 Low Dec 15
  • SUP 2: 0.6658/6585 50-day EMA / Low Nov 21
  • SUP 3: 0.6387 Low Nov 10
  • SUP 4: 0.6272 Low Nov 3 and a key support

A sharp sell-off in AUDUSD on Thursday signals a short-term top and suggests scope for a deeper pullback near-term. The 20-day EMA has been breached and attention turns to the 50-day EMA at 0.6658. This represents a key short-term support and a break, if seen, would suggest potential for a deeper retracement. On the upside, key resistance has been defined at 0.6893, the Dec 13 high. A break would resume the recent uptrend.

Historical bullets

MNI: UK OCT CPI +2% M/M, +11.1% Y/Y

Nov-16 07:00



  • MNI: UK OCT CPI +2% M/M, +11.1% Y/Y
  • UK OCT CORE CPI +0.7% M/M, +6.5% Y/Y
  • UK OCT RPI +2.5% M/M, +14.2% Y/Y

MNI: UK OCT OUTPUT PPI +0.3% M/M, +14.8% Y/Y

Nov-16 07:00



  • MNI: UK OCT OUTPUT PPI +0.3% M/M, +14.8% Y/Y
  • UK OCT INPUT PPI +0.6% M/M, +19.2% Y/Y

US TSY OPTIONS: TYF3 116.50 Calls Given

Nov-16 06:58

TYF3 116.50 calls ~3.8K lots given at 0-12, goes offered for the balance of a 5K order, trades on the follow. Delta +12%.

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