AUD has historically been used as a risk-off proxy so it makes sense to see the AUD struggle against its crosses right across the board. Yesterday we saw the AUD take a breath for the first time in the crosses as the market saw currencies that seemed immune to the moves also start to react as the demand for USD’s began to broaden.
- EUR/AUD - Had a very wide range of 1.7883 - 1.8423, finally some consolidation after ripping higher from 1.72 to touch 1.84 in just 3 days. Look for dips back towards 1.75/78 to be supported as the AUD leads the risk off move lower.
- GBP/AUD - yesterday's range was 2.0945 - 2.1645, eventually a pause after looking to go parabolic. GBP has begun to react to the global distress and this looks to potentially be putting a short term top in place. Dips though back to 2.03/06 should find buyers once more.
- AUD/JPY is everyone's favourite way to express risk aversion in FX, so it's not surprising to see it bounce as buyers finally emerge to put a low in US stocks in place for now. Price is challenging the pivotal 88.00/90.00 area and while risk remains under pressure expect bounces to be met with supply back towards 92.00/94.00. A sustained close sub 88.00 opens up a potential acceleration lower with 78/80 the first target.
- AUD/NZD - finally found some buyers after a relentless washout of longs to almost touch 1.0700. After that capitulation expect sellers to reemerge between 1.0900/1.1000.
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Source: MNI - Market News/Bloomberg