EU UTILITIES: Statkraft: Strategic Review

Jun-20 09:04

 (STATK; A3/Aneg/A-neg)

Slightly negative as ratings pressure increases. Execution of planned asset sales will be pivotal.

  • Statkraft provided a strategy update, with a focus on profitable core activities, hydropower and local onshore wind.
  • Growth in Europe and South America will continue but at a slower pace.
  • It will not start new offshore wind projects. Development in Portugal will be halted, and Poland will be assessed.
  • Halting new hydrogen projects and planned divestments were previously announced.
  • The company is targeting NOK2.9bn in cost savings annually by 2027 due to the narrowed focus, a 15% reduction vs FY25 expectations.
  • It updated its annual investment target to NOK16-20bn. S&P outlined NOK13-17bn expected when it revised outlook to negative in March.
  • S&P is mainly on FFO/Debt, but the increased outlay could drag on DCF/Debt by 1-2% holding FFO and dividends constant.

Historical bullets

COMMODITIES: WTI Futures Trade to Fresh Short-Term Cycle High

May-21 08:49
  • WTI futures have traded to a fresh short-term cycle high today and maintain a bullish theme. However, the recovery since Apr 9, still appears corrective. Key resistance to watch is $62.87, the 50-day EMA. It has been pierced, a clear break of it would highlight a stronger reversal. This would open $65.82, the Apr 4 high. For bears a reversal lower would refocus attention on $54.33, the Apr 9 low and bear trigger. 
  • Gold has recovered from its recent lows and is trading higher today. The climb signals the end of the corrective phase between Apr 22 - May 15. Medium-term trend signals remain bullish - moving average studies are in a bull-mode position highlighting a dominant uptrend. A continuation would open $3435 next, the May 7 high. Key support and the bear trigger has been defined at $3121.0, the May 15 low.

EQUITIES: Bullish Trend Condition in E-Mini S&P Remains Intact

May-21 08:49
  • A bullish theme in Eurostoxx 50 futures remains intact and price is trading at its recent highs. The contract is extending the recent breach of 5263.01, 76.4% of the Mar 3 - Apr 7 bear leg, and maintains the sequence of higher highs and higher lows. Sights are on 5516.00, the Mar 3 high and the key bull trigger. Key support to watch lies at 5201.23, the 50-day EMA. Clearance of this level would signal a possible reversal.
  • A bullish trend condition in S&P E-Minis remains intact and the contract is trading closer to its recent highs. An important resistance at 5837.25, the Mar 25 high and a bull trigger, has been cleared. This has strengthened the current bullish theme, and paves the way for a continuation near-term. Sights are on the 6000.00 handle next. Initial firm support to watch lies at 5703.54, the 50-day EMA.

UK DMO UPDATE: Gilt Auction Bidding Window Extended

May-21 08:46

The DMO announced that "due to the ongoing market-wide Bloomberg system issues, the bidding window for this morning's auction of the 4% 2031 is being extended. We expect the close time of the auction bidding window to be 11:30am, subject to Bloomberg systems issues being resolved. The UK Debt Management Office will share further details as soon as possible"