EURGBP TECHS: Short-Term Trend Needle Points South

Jan-09 19:00

* RES 4: 0.8797 High Dec 17 * RES 3: 0.8774 High Dec 19 * RES 2: 0.8734 50-day EMA * RES 1: 0.8703 L...

Historical bullets

FED: Likely Links For Fed Decision

Dec-10 18:54

Links (likely URLs based on previous meetings, will only go live at 2pm ET):              

US TSYS: Paring Support in Leadup to FOMC

Dec-10 18:51
  • Still bid, Treasury futures are scaling back from recent session highs ahead of the FOMC & SEP annc at the top of the hour.
  • Currently, TYH6 trades 112-05 (+2) vs. 112-07.5 high, initial key resistance is seen at 112-25+, the 20-day EMA. A break of this average would signal a possible reversal.
  • In the event of a reversal, TYH6 - breach of round number support - strengthens a bear theme and signals scope for a move towards 111-19 next a Fibonacci projection.
  • Curves mixed: 2s10s +.329 at 57.229, 5s30s -.430 at 101.347.
  • Bbg US$ index little off recent lows: BBDXY at 1212.84 -1.98.

GBPUSD TECHS: Bull Flag Formation

Dec-10 18:30
  • RES 4: 1.3471 High Oct 17   
  • RES 3: 1.3452 50.0% retracement of the Sep 17 - Nov 4 bear leg 
  • RES 2: 1.3416 High Oct 21
  • RES 1: 1.3385 High Dec 04
  • PRICE: 1.3333 @ 16:26 GMT Dec 10
  • SUP 1: 1.3268 50-day EMA   
  • SUP 2: 1.3241 20-day EMA
  • SUP 3: 1.3180/25 Low Dec 2 / Low Nov 26 
  • SUP 4: 1.3038/10 Low Nov 20 / Low Nov 4 & 5 and the bear trigger       

The latest pause in GBPUSD appears to be a flag formation - a bullish continuation signal. This reinforces the current uptrend. The breach of  the 50-day EMA undermined a recent bearish theme and highlights a stronger reversal. Scope is seen for a climb towards 1.3452, a Fibonacci retracement point. Initial firm support is seen at 1.3241, the 20-day EMA. A move below this average would be a bearish development.