STIR: Short Setting Dominated In SOFR Futures On Wednesday

Mar-13 10:42

OI data suggests that short setting dominated in SOFR futures on Wednesday, as the strip twist steepened.

  • Only a single round of net long setting (SFRZ4) and modest rounds of net long cover interrupted the broader trend.

 

12-Mar-25

11-Mar-25

Daily OI Change

 

Daily OI Change In Packs

SFRZ4

1,059,130

1,056,906

+2,224

Whites

+22,121

SFRH5

1,289,427

1,296,103

-6,676

Reds

+69,271

SFRM5

1,148,430

1,131,627

+16,803

Greens

+23,199

SFRU5

921,594

911,824

+9,770

Blues

+4,635

SFRZ5

1,024,911

989,063

+35,848

 

 

SFRH6

678,873

673,527

+5,346

 

 

SFRM6

624,222

604,039

+20,183

 

 

SFRU6

609,020

601,126

+7,894

 

 

SFRZ6

794,962

772,861

+22,101

 

 

SFRH7

469,870

471,364

-1,494

 

 

SFRM7

459,925

464,759

-4,834

 

 

SFRU7

311,698

304,272

+7,426

 

 

SFRZ7

404,865

400,201

+4,664

 

 

SFRH8

215,206

216,343

-1,137

 

 

SFRM8

177,327

178,696

-1,369

 

 

SFRU8

130,730

128,253

+2,477

 

 

Historical bullets

GILT SYNDICATION: Record size, record book, but which bucket will be reduced?

Feb-11 10:41

Putting that syndication size in context. It's the largest ever at GBP13bln.

  • Previous largest was GBP12.0bln in May 2020 (10-year). And larger than the GBP11.0bln sold in June 2024 (the previous 10-year).
  • It's also a record book size for a gilt syndication - the record being the GBP119.3bln for the 15-year syndication last month.
  • Question is now... There's only GBP1.2bln in the unallocated bucket. So where is the other GBP1.8bln coming from? Smaller medium-dated bucket could easily accommodate GBP1.0bln or so.
  • But will there be more taken from elsewhere or will this mean a much smaller auction next month of the gilt issued today?

JPY: A reversal in the Yen

Feb-11 10:36
  • A full spin Cycle in the Yen, after spiking earlier with no clear trigger, it is now back at session lows against the EUR, GBP, and the USD.
  • As we have previously mentioned, crosses are still mostly within ranges, and the USDJPY would need a test all the way to 152.54 to just test Yesterday's high.

BELGIUM T-BILL AUCTION RESULTS: Short / Long TCs

Feb-11 10:36
MaturityMay 8, 2025Feb 12, 2026
AmountE777mlnE1.789bln
TargetE2.2-2.6blnShared
PreviousE802mlnE770mln
Avg yield2.409%2.221%
Previous2.421%2.238%
Bid-to-cover2.24x1.7x
Previous2.68x2.54x
Previous dateFeb 04, 2025Feb 04, 2025