NORWAY: September Inflation Due At 0700BST, CPI-ATE Expected Steady

Oct-10 05:45

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Norwegian September inflation is due at 0700BST/0800CET. Analysts expect CPI-ATE inflation at 3.1% Y...

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EUROZONE T-BILL ISSUANCE: W/C 8 September

Sep-10 05:41

Italy is still due to sell bills this week, while Germany, France Spain, Belgium and Finland have already come to the market. We expect issuance to be E25.5bln in first-round operations, down from E26.8bln last week.

  • To conclude issuance for the week this morning, Italy will look to sell E9bln of the new 12-month Sep 14, 2026 BOT.
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SCHATZ TECHS: (Z5) Resistance Is Intact For Now

Sep-10 05:38
  • RES 4: 107.360 High Jul 22 and 23 (cont)  
  • RES 3: 107.240 High Aug 4  
  • RES 2: 107.225 High Aug 27 and the bull trigger
  • RES 1: 107.190 High Sep 5 and 8 
  • PRICE: 107.145 @ 06:19 BST Sep 10
  • SUP 1: 107.050 Low Aug 25 and Sep 2 and a bear trigger  
  • SUP 2: 107.000 Round number support  
  • SUP 3: 106.983 138.2% retracement proj of the Aug 25 - 27 rally 
  • SUP 4: 106.963 150.0% retracement proj of the Aug 25 - 27 rally

The trend structure in Schatz futures remains bearish and - for now - recent short-term gains still appear corrective. Attention is on the next important support at 107.050, the Aug 25 and Sep 2 low. A break of this level would confirm a resumption of the downtrend and open the 107.00 handle. Key short-term resistance to watch is 107.225, the Aug 27 high. Clearance of this hurdle would highlight a stronger bullish theme and signal a stronger reversal.

GBPUSD TECHS: Sights Are On The Bull Trigger

Sep-10 05:34
  • RES 4: 1.3681 High Jul 4  
  • RES 3: 1.3636 76.4% retracement of the Jul 1 - Aug1 downleg
  • RES 2: 1.3595 High Aug 14 and a bull trigger 
  • RES 1: 1.3590 High Sep 9
  • PRICE: 1.3540 @ 06:33 BST Sep 10
  • SUP 1: 1.3465/3333 50-day EMA / Low Sep 3
  • SUP 2: 1.3315 61.8% retracement of the Aug 1 - 14 bull leg
  • SUP 3: 1.3249 76.4% retracement of the Aug 1 - 14 bull leg 
  • SUP 4: 1.3142 Low Aug 1 and a key support      

GBPUSDis holding on to its gains since rallying off the Sep 3 low. The climb has retraced the steep sell-off on Sep 2 and highlights a stronger bullish development. This also suggests the corrective cycle between Aug 14 - Sep 3 is over. Sights are on resistance at 1.3595, the Aug 14 high and a bull trigger. A break would strengthen a bullish condition. Initial support to watch is 1.3465, the 50-day EMA.