AUD: Second best performer against the Majors

Feb-20 09:51
  • The Aussie is still the Second best performer within G10s and the Majors, Yen still leads but has given back some gains since Europe joined the session.
  • The beat in Australian Employment Overnight and the Risk On tone in early trade have been supportive of the Aussie.
  • AUDUSD has made an attempt through the February high, but hasn't quite managed to test the 0.6384 resistance, printed a 0.6380 high.

Historical bullets

GILT SYNDICATION: 4.375% Jan-40 gilt: Spread set

Jan-21 09:47
  • Spread set 4.25% Sep-39 gilt +4.00bp (Guidance was +4.00/+4.25bps)
  • Size: GBP Benchmark (MNI expect GBP5.0-6.5bln)
  • Books in excess of GBP115bln (inc JLN interest of GBP7bln)
  • Expected Settlement Date: 22-January-2025 (T+1)
  • ISIN: GB00BQC82D08
  • Joint Leads: DB (B&D / DM) / JPM / MS / Nomura / RBC CM
  • Timing: Books to close at 10:00GMT, today’s business

From market source

EQUITIES: Estoxx Put Spread seller

Jan-21 09:46

SX5E (20th Jun) 5100/4900ps, sold at 65.1 in 3k.

EGBS: Citi Like SPGBs Vs. 20-Year OLOs & 30-Year OATs

Jan-21 09:40

Citi are “bullish periphery and expect BTPs to eventually converge with OATs but would avoid BTPs in the near-term due to the risk of excessive volatility (linked to Trump tariffs).”

  • Instead, they prefer “Bonos to express our structural longs – 30s vs OATs and 20s vs OLOs.”
  • “The Bono-OLO spread has already started to move as it benefits from the anticipation of front-loading of OLO supply.”
  • However, they caution that subsequent “performance might be slow given positioning, higher than expected Bono supply for 2025, concerns around the Spanish budget following Puigdemont withdrawing support for the Sanchez government and the spending needed for flood relief.”
  • Still, their base case remains, as they look for “continued strong growth/low deficit in Spain, with a key near-term hurdle perhaps the supply pressure ahead.”