SWITZERLAND DATA: Seasonal Adjusted CPI Data Shows Services, Domestic Above Lows

Dec-03 09:05

A rough seasonal adjustment of Swiss CPI data shows momentum in much eyed services and domestic categories remaining above their respective cycle lows despite some downside since the last SNB meeting in September. This supports the narrative that there is some room for further inflation downside before the SNB felt pressured to cut into negative territory.

  • We calculate momentum as a 3m/3m annualized rate. For services, this stands at 0.76% (vs 1.33% before the SNB September meeting), and 0.36% for domestic inflation (vs 0.82% before the Sep meeting).
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Historical bullets

MNI: EUROZONE OCT FINAL MANUF PMI 50.0 (50.0 FLASH, 49.8 SEP)

Nov-03 09:00
  • MNI: EUROZONE OCT FINAL MANUF PMI 50.0 (50.0 FLASH, 49.8 SEP)

MNI: GERMANY OCT FINAL MANUF PMI 49.6 (49.6 FLASH, 49.5 SEP)

Nov-03 08:55
  • MNI: GERMANY OCT FINAL MANUF PMI 49.6 (49.6 FLASH, 49.5 SEP)

SONIA OPTIONS: Call Spread vs Midcurve

Nov-03 08:54

SFIZ5 96.35/96.50cs vs 0NZ5 96.70/96.90cs, bought the mid for 4.25 in 10k.