EGB OPTIONS: Schatz broken Put Condor

September's flash US PMIs brought a 2-month low for Manufacturing at 52.0 (52.2 consensus, 53.0 prior) and a 3-month low for Services at 53.9 (54.0 consensus, 54.5 prior), but both readings were pretty much in line with consensus and suggest an economy in expansionary territory (consistent with 2.2% Q/Q annualized GDP expansion in Q3, per the S&P Global report).

Highlights from the report:

• "US business activity growth slowed for a second successive month in September, according to early ‘flash’ PMI data, accompanied by a softening of demand growth. While growth was again seen across both manufacturing and service sectors, both categories reported weakened expansions, leading to slower hiring in both cases."
• "Tariffs were meanwhile again widely cited as the main cause of sharply higher costs, but weaker demand and stiff competition reportedly limited the scope to raise selling prices, which rose on average at the slowest rate since April. Slower than expected sales reportedly also contributed to the largest rise in factory inventory levels of unsold stock in the history of the survey.
• "More encouragingly, business confidence in the outlook improved, partly reflecting hopes that lower interest rates will help offset some of the anticipated impacts from tariffs and broader policy uncertainty."
• On labor market conditions: "Employment rose for a seventh straight month in September, though the rate of job creation slowed. Lower job gains were seen across both manufacturing and service sectors. Although service companies continued to take on extra staff in response to rising workloads and improved confidence, the September survey saw a higher incidence of companies unable or unwilling to fill vacant positions. In manufacturing, the survey saw more of a focus on job losses due to cost cutting."
• Inflationary pressures remained hot but have been tempered a little, and this is of note from a tariff passthrough perspective: "Firms across both manufacturing and services often reported difficulties passing higher costs on to customers due to weak demand and growing competition. Goods price inflation cooled especially sharply, down to its lowest since January whilst selling prices in the service sector rose at the weakest rate since April."

• +50,000 TYZ5 114 calls, 31 vs. 112-25/0.29%.
• As noted earlier, Monday's large TYZ5 call buy: over +162k raised open interest by 116k to 164,375.

• RES 4: 6812.29 2.382 proj of the Aug 20 - 28 - Sep 2 price swing 
• RES 3: 6800.00 Round number resistance 
• RES 2: 6787.63 1.382 proj of the Aug 1 - 15 - 20 price swing   
• RES 1: 6756.75 High Sep 22  
• PRICE: 6754.25 @ 14:39 BST Sep 23
• SUP 1: 6616.34 20-day EMA
• SUP 2: 6577.25 Low Sep 10 
• SUP 3: 6497.54 50-day EMA 
• SUP 4: 6417.25 Low Aug 12 

A bull cycle in S&P E-Minis remains intact and the contract traded to a fresh cycle high yesterday. Price has breached the 6700.00 handle and this signals scope for an extension towards 6787.63, a Fibonacci projection point. Moving average studies remain in a bull-mode position, highlighting a dominant uptrend and positive market sentiment. Initial support to watch lies at 6616.34, the 20-day EMA.