SPAIN: Sanchez-US Tariffs "Unjust" And "Doubly Unfair"

Jun-26 09:25

Delivering doorstep comments at the European Council summit in Brussels, PM Pedro Sanchez says that US tariffs on Spain are "very unjust" and "doubly unfair". 

  • At the NATO summit, Sanchez says he is "very satisfied" with the outcome, claiming that "we will achieve capabilities required while maintaining our social cohesion and welfare". There are major doubts within the defensive alliance that Spain will stick to the '3.5%+1.5%' defence spending target agreed to by NATO leaders, with Sanchez saying to NATO that he will hit the target, but domestically saying there is no need for Spain to spend above 2.1% of GDP on defence.
  • This stance resulted in a furious broadside from US President Donald Trump, who called Spain's actions "terrible" and promised to make Spain "pay double", and that he would oversee negotiations personally.
  • It remains to be seen how the US can target Spain directly, given that its tariffs apply to the whole EU, and it is Brussels that is negotiating with the White House. Tariffs targeting specific goods that Spain exports to the US are one option, but this would risk spillover impacts on other countries.
  • At the start of 2025, unconfirmed reports in Moroccan media claimed that the US was considering recognising Morocco's sovereignty over the Spanish exclaves of Ceuta and Melilla. This prospect was swiftly slapped down by the Spanish foreign minister and appears unlikely at present. Nevertheless, a major collapse in US-Spain relations could see such a scenario become a more feasible possibility. 

Historical bullets

ITALY AUCTION RESULTS: BTP Short Term / BTPei

May-27 09:16
 2.55% Feb-27 BTP Short Term1.25% Sep-32 BTPei1.80% May-36 BTPei
ISINIT0005633794IT0005138828IT0005588881
AmountE2.75blnE1blnE1bln
PreviousE3blnE600mlnE1.5bln
Avg yield2.01%1.24%1.90%
Previous2.00%0.38%1.90%
Bid-to-cover1.61x1.57x1.59x
Previous1.65x2.82x1.61x
Avg Price100.93100.1099.06
Pre-auction mid100.913100.02398.977
Prev avg price101.00110.7099.08
Prev mid-price100.982 99.005
Previous date24-Apr-2525-Feb-2025-Feb-25

AUSTRIA T-BILL AUCTION RESULTS: 2-Month RATB / 3-month Green RATB

May-27 09:09
Type2-month RATB3-month Green RATB
MaturityJul 24, 2025Aug 28, 2025
AllottedE793mlnE1.747bln
PreviousE780mlnE1.696bln
AmountE1blnE2bln
TargetE1blnE2bln
PreviousE1blnE2bln
Avg yield1.990%1.925%
Previous2.110%2.310%
Bid-to-cover1.86x1.86x
Previous1.69x1.9x
Bid-to-offer1.48x1.62x
Previous1.32x1.61x
Previous dateApr 22, 2025Feb 25, 2025

JPY: Fresh broader lows for the Yen

May-27 09:08
  • The Yen continues to print fresh broader lows, the USDJPY has now gained 142 pips taking its cue from the fall in long JGB Yield since the MOF source story on possibly reducing Bond issuance in the longer-end.
  • Next stop would see Friday's high at 144.14, but better will be seen at the 144.40/144.49 area, respectively Thursday's high and 20 day EMA.