June diesel/gasoil loadings from Russia’s Novorossiysk spiked to a multi-year high of 410kb/d and Russia’s total seaborne diesel/gasoil exports rose above the 8-year seasonal level in May, Vortexa said.
A 2.5-month pause in Ukrainian strikes has allowed Russian refiners to ramp up diesel production.
Completed maintenance at the Volgograd refinery has enabled quick diesel shipments via the Yug pipeline.
Internal prioritisation of more lucrative diesel/gasoil exports comes amid poor earnings balances for the mainstream producers.
Exports also boosted by growing Wider Mediterranean region demand for power generation, particularly Turkey and growing volumes in North Africa.
June diesel/gasoil imports by Egypt, Tunisia and Libya are forecast 45% higher y-o-y at nearly 210kbd, and potentially a record monthly high.
Increased STS activity in Port Said and Cyprus locations could suggest regional port deliveries to Turkey, Egypt and Libya.
Israel’s total diesel imports also rose 70% m-o-m after a missile strike on the Bazan refinery, of which 73% originate from Russia.
Total exports may continue to rise in June above the seasonal range with prioritisation for diesel/gasoil production amid higher financial returns.