ENERGY: Russian and Hungary Discuss Enhanced Energy Cooperation

Mar-26 08:29

Russian Deputy Prime Minister Alexander Novak and Hungarian Foreign Minister Peter Szijjarto discussed bilateral trade and conditions for enhanced energy cooperation, the Russian government said.

  • Oil supplies to Hungary via the Druzhba pipeline reached 956k metric tons, or 118.800kb/d in the January to February following 4.78m tons in 2024.
  • Russian pipeline gas flows to Hungary were 1.18bcm in Jan-Feb following a record 8.6bcm in 2024.
  • Novak emphasized a commitment to dependable energy supplies for Hungary and efforts to ensure that supplies to partners remain undisrupted and predictable.
  • "This result not only indicates a high degree of coordination, but also demonstrates our common commitment to energy security," Novak said. 

Historical bullets

STIR: J.P.Morgan Recommend Receiving 1y1y €STR

Feb-24 08:25

J.P.Morgan recommend receiving 1y1y €STR.

  • They believe that “the €STR curve is not pricing enough downside risk-premium”, with growth remaining on a soft trajectory and the U.S. tariff backdrop further tilting economic risks to the downside.
  • They acknowledge that they “do not expect any sharp sustained repricing lower of terminal rate expectations over the near term but a gradual decline over the coming months and therefore prefer to trade tactically at the front-end of the curve”.

CROSS ASSET: MONTH END EXTENSION

Feb-24 08:22

Bloomberg Bonds:

  • US Tsys: +0.12yr (Large).
  • EU Govies: +0.08yr (Average).
  • UK Govies: -0.03yr (non event).
  • JGBs: +0.04yr (small).

SILVER TECHS: Bullish Outlook

Feb-24 08:19
  • RES 4: $35.736 - 1.236 proj of the Feb 14 - Apr 12 - May 2 ‘24 swing 
  • RES 3: $34.903 - High Oct 23 and the bull trigger
  • RES 2: $34.000 - Round number resistance  
  • RES 1: $33.450 - 76.4% of the Oct 23 - Dec 19 ‘24 bear leg                                
  • PRICE: $32.550 @ 08:18 GMT Feb 24   
  • SUP 1: $31.979/343 - 20- and 50-day EMA values         
  • SUP 2: $29.704 - Low Jan 27 
  • SUP 3: $28.748 - Low Dec 19 and bear trigger
  • SUP 4: $28.446 - 76.4% retracement of the Aug 8 - Oct 23 bull cycle 

A bull theme in Silver remains intact and the metal is trading closer to its latest highs. Recent gains confirm a resumption of the bull cycle that started Dec 19 and sights are on $33.450, a Fibonacci retracement. Clearance of this level would further strengthen a bull theme. On the downside, key short-term support is seen at 31.343, the 50-day EMA. A clear breach of this level would highlight a potential reversal.