EM CEEMEA CREDIT: ROMANI: Spreads remain elevated ahead of election round

• In the equity space, S&P E-Minis maintain a softer tone following recent bearish price action. Sights are on key support and the bear trigger at 5559.75, the Mar 13 low. It has been pierced, a clear break of it would confirm a resumption of the downtrend that started Feb 19, and open 5483.30, a Fibonacci projection. MA studies are in a bear-mode position, highlighting a dominant downtrend. Key short-term resistance has been defined at 5837.25, the Mar 25 high. Initial firm resistance is 5757.95, the 20-day EMA. Gains are considered corrective.
• EUROSTOXX 50 futures traded lower Monday resulting in a breach of key support at 5229.00, the Mar 11 low. The contract has recovered, however, the print below 5229.00 undermines a bullish theme and signals scope for a deeper retracement. The 5200 handle has also been cleared, opening 5079.00, the Feb 3 low. It is still possible that recent weakness is part of a broader correction. Initial firm resistance is 5335.34, the 20-day EMA.

SOFR FIX - Source BBG/CME

• 1M 4.31930 0.00034
• 3M 4.27734 -0.00364
• 6M 4.16448 -0.00244
• 12M 3.95120 -0.00869

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