EQUITIES: ROLL PACE (update)

Mar-08 14:12

EQUITY ROLL PACE (expiry 15th March): Some might start to pick up when the NFP's dust settles

  • Emini: 13%.
  • Nasdaq: 7% (below pace).
  • Dow: 6% (below pace).
  • Estoxx: 17%.
  • Dax: 10%.
  • FTSE: 7% (below pace).

Historical bullets

PIPELINE: Corporate Debt Issuers Targeting 5Y, 10Y Tranches

Feb-07 14:12

Date $MM Issuer (Priced *, Launch #

  • 2/7 $Benchmark Eli Lilly 3Y +55a, 5Y +70a, 10Y +85a, 30Y +100a, 40Y +110a
  • 2/7 $Benchmark Rogers Communications 5Y +140a, 10Y +165a
  • 2/7 $Benchmark Constellation Software 5Y +140a, 10Y +165a
  • 2/7 $Benchmark Dow Chemical 10Y +135a, 30Y +160a
  • 2/7 $1B #Inter-American Inv Bank (IDB) 5Y SOFR+51
  • 2/7 $500M Turkiye Wealth Fund WNG 5Y 9.125%a
  • 2/7 $Benchmark NEDC 5Y Sukuk +185a
  • 2/7 $Benchmark UBS WNG Perp NC7.2 8.375%a

US: Senate Looks To 'Clean' NatSec Package After Border Deal Collapses

Feb-07 14:10

Senate Majority Leader Chuck Schumer (D-NY) reportedly plans to bring a ‘clean’ national security package, stripped of the Senate border deal and coupled with the FEND Off Fentanyl Act, to the Senate for a procedural vote at 13:00 ET 18:00 GMT today - immediately after Republicans block the border bill. More on "Speaker Johnson's worst day in office" in the MNI US Daily Brief.

  • Schumer's plan appears nearly identical to Biden's original (September 2023) USD$106 billion request and will face the same conservative opposition but offers a glimmer of hope for Ukraine aid - now critical, according to the Pentagon and Which House National Security Council.
  • Senate Minority Leader Mitch McConnell (R-KY) appears on board and it could feasibly attract the 60 Senate votes required to clear a filibuster but there are serious questions about the extent of McConnell's power after the collapse of the border deal.
  • McConnel said: “We still, in my view, ought to tackle the rest of it because it’s important — not that the border isn’t important, but we can’t get an outcome.”
  • If the Senate passes the national security package, likely by late this week, then it will head to the House where there may be a narrow pathway despite House Speaker Mike Johnson’s (R-LA) opposition.
  • Per Punchbowl News: “…there have been private discussions about a House discharge petition built around a Ukraine-Israel aid package. This would require 218 signatures. There are clearly enough GOP and Democratic supporters on Ukraine, although conservative Republicans will strongly oppose this.”

STIR: Effective Fed Funds Rate

Feb-07 14:03

FRBNY EFFR for prior session:

  • Daily Effective Fed Funds Rate: 5.33% (+0.00), volume: $97B
  • Daily Overnight Bank Funding Rate: 5.32% (+0.00), volume: $261B

Earlier Repo Reference Rates:

  • Secured Overnight Financing Rate (SOFR): 5.31% (+0.00), volume: $1.738T
  • Broad General Collateral Rate (BGCR): 5.30% (+0.00), volume: $682B
  • Tri-Party General Collateral Rate (TGCR): 5.30% (+0.00), volume: $672B
  • (rate, volume levels reflect prior session)