EM CEEMEA CREDIT: Rep of Latvia: EUR BM 10Y - FV

Sep-25 07:31

Rep of Latvia: EUR BM 10Y - FV

(LATVIA; A3/A/A-)

IPT: MS+100bp 

FV: MS+75bp

  • Latvia issuing a EUR 10Y BM deal. We look at the Latvia curve to derive a FV. We use the following:

    - LATVIA 3.875% Jul33 bonds which are yielding 3.24% or z+67bp

    - LATVIA $ 5.125% Jul34 bonds in XCCY EUR yielding of 4.67% or z+99bp

    - LATVIA 1.375% May36 bonds yielding 3.58% or z+83bp

  • We interpolate a FV on the new 10Y bonds at MS+75bp
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Historical bullets

BONDS: US Tsys and Gilt Roll pace

Aug-26 07:30

Treasury and Gilt Rolls, expect for the December expiry to be front Month in Gilt Today, Sept is still the most active, but over 80% of the volume is spread related.

PACE: 1st Notice for Gilt is the 28th, and 29th for Tsys:

  • WNA: 64%.
  • USA: 64%.
  • UXA: 72%.
  • TYA: 53%.
  • FVA: 57%.
  • TUA: 66%.
  • Gilt: 63% (As of Friday).

OAT: French 10yr Yield breaks above 3.50%

Aug-26 07:18
  • The French OAT is starting to drag Bund lower, The UK Gilts is also at play, as the UK returns from their Bank Holiday.
  • The French 10yr Yield has fully cleared the 3.50% level, highest since March.

Next stop, reference 121.60:

  • 3.550% = 121.39.
  • 3.631% = 120.61 (highest Yield print since Nov 2011).

(Chart source: MNI/Bloomberg Finace LP).

GFRN10 Index (France Govt Oats B 2025-08-26 08-14-36

EGB SYNDICATION: Austria New 7-Year RAGB: Books open

Aug-26 07:07
  • E3bln WNG of the new 7-year Sep-32 RAGB
  • Guidance: MS+33 area
  • Format: Reg S, Bearer, 144A eligible, CAC
  • Settlement: 02 September 2025 (T+5)
  • Maturity: 20 September 2032 (7Y)
  • Size: EUR 3 billion (Will not grow, excluding potential issuer retention)
  • Coupon: TBD, Fixed, Ann., ACT/ACT (Long 1st to 20 September 2026)
  • ISIN: AT0000A3NY15
  • Bookrunners: BofA / DB(DM/B&D) / Erste Group / HSBC / JPM / Raiffeisen Bank International
  • Timing: Books open, today's business

From market source