EURGBP maintains a bullish tone and the latest pullback appears to be a correction. Recent impulsive gains resulted in the break of a number of key resistance points, cancelling a bearish theme and highlighting potential for 0.8645, the Apr 23 high and a key resistance. Initial firm support to watch lies at 0.8492, the 50-day EMA. First support is 0.8531, the Aug 13 low. A retracement is allowing an overbought condition to unwind.
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Date | UK | Period | Event |
17-Jul | 0700 | June | CPI / PPI |
17-Jul | 1130 | - | King's Speech |
18-Jul | 0700 | May/June | Labour Market Survey |
19-Jul | 0001 | July | Gfk Monthly Consumer Confidence |
19-Jul | 0700 | June | Retail Sales / Public Sector Finances |
24-Jul | 0001 | July | Brightmine pay deals for whole economy |
24-Jul | 0930 | July | S&P Global Flash PMIs |
25-Jul | 1100 | July | CBI Industrial Trends |
29-Jul | 0930 | June | BOE M4 |
29-Jul | 0930 | June | BOE Lending to Individuals |
29-Jul | 1100 | July | CBI Distributive Trades |
30-Jul | 0001 | July | BRC Monthly Shop Price Index |
01-Aug | 0930 | July | S&P Global/ CIPS UK Final Manufacturing PMI |
01-Aug | 1200 | - | Bank Of England Interest Rate |
01-Aug | 1230 | - | BoE Press Conference |
05-Aug | 0930 | July | S&P Global/ CIPS UK Final Services/Composite PMI |
Schatz futures traded higher last week, signalling scope for an extension towards 105.752 and 105.837, Fibonacci retracement points. A break of 105.837 would strengthen a bullish theme and expose 105.975, the Jun 14 high and a key resistance. On the downside, a reversal would refocus attention on key short-term support at 105.390, the Jul 5 low. Clearance of this level would reinstate a bearish theme.
Date | Time (BST) | Country | Event |
16-Jul | 800 | EU | ECB's De Guindos in ECONFIN meeting |
16-Jul | 900 | EU | ECB Bank Lending Survey |
16-Jul | 900 | IT | Italy Final HICP |
16-Jul | 1000 | DE | ZEW Index |
16-Jul | 1000 | EU | Trade Balance |
17-Jul | 1000 | EU | HICP (f) |
18-Jul | 1000 | EU | Construction Production |
18-Jul | 1315 | EU | ECB Governing Council Meeting |
18-Jul | 1345 | EU | ECB Monetary Policy Press Conference |
18-Jul | 1515 | EU | Lagarde presents MonPol decision on podcast |
19-Jul | 700 | DE | PPI |
19-Jul | 900 | EU | EZ Current Account |
23-Jul | 800 | EU | ECB's Lane at ECB/IMF conference in Frankfurt |
23-Jul | 1500 | EU | Consumer Confidence Indicator (p) |