EU REAL ESTATE: Public Storage: Final Spread

Sep-26 11:27

(PSA; A2/A/NR)

  • Spread Set: ms+95
  • FV: ms+95
  • Size: exp. €400m
  • IPT: EUR300m exp 8.3yrs ms+125a - market sources
  • The PLD 4% 34 is screening z+105 - 13bps wide to low coupon older deals. Similarly PSA's outstanding bonds are low coupon and trade tight. So I am a little cautious going with +95 but it's a small deal and will be used to repay the 2025 bond. (242m). Rare name as well.

Historical bullets

SEK: SEB: Neutral Month-End Rebalancing Outlook

Aug-27 11:25

SEB’s model suggests that month-end rebalancing needs for the typical Swedish portfolio manager are SEK neutral.

OUTLOOK: Price Signal Summary - Resistance In Bunds Remains Intact

Aug-27 11:19
  • In the FI space, Bund futures continue to trade above their recent lows. A bear threat remains present. The contract recently breached 128.84, the Jul 25 low and a bear trigger. Note that the 129.00 handle represents the base of a broad range. A clear range breakout would strengthen a bearish theme. This would open 128.40 initially, the Apr 9 low. Strength above the 50-day EMA of 129.78, is required to signal a reversal.
  • A bear cycle in Gilt futures remains in play and yesterday’s fresh cycle low reinforces current conditions. Note that on the continuation chart, moving average studies are in a bear-mode position, highlighting a clear downtrend - for now. First support to watch is 90.25 (pierced), the Aug 26 low. A clear break of it would resume the bear leg and open the 90.00 handle. Initial resistance is at 91.24, the Aug 18 high.

US TSY FUTURES: September'25-December'25 Roll Update: 80%-90% Complete

Aug-27 11:11

Latest Tsy quarterly futures roll volumes from September'25 to December'25 below. Percentage complete currently 80%-90% ahead "First Notice" date this Friday, August 29. Current roll details:

  • TUU5/TUZ5 appr 97,100 from -9.25 to -9.12, -9.12 last; 90% complete
  • FVU5/FVZ5 appr 229,500 from -5.75 to -5.5, -5.5 last; 83% complete
  • TYU5/TYZ5 appr 144,400 from -1.25 to -0.75, -1.0 last; 83% complete
  • UXYU5/UXYZ5 app 100,300 from +0.0 to +0.5, 0.25 last; 82% complete
  • USU5/USZ5 appr 28,000 from 12.25 to 13.0, 12.75 last; 81% complete
  • WNU5/WNZ5 appr 34,100 from 7.75 to 8.0, 7.75 last; 83% complete
  • Reminder, Sep futures don't expire until next month: 10s, 30s and Ultras on September 22, 2s and 5s on September 30.