OUTLOOK: Price Signal Summary - S&P E-Minis Trend Outlook Remains Bullish

May-22 09:12
  • In the equity space, S&P E-Minis traded higher last week and the contract breached key short-term resistance and the bull trigger at 4206.25, the May 1 high. Clearance of this level confirms an extension of the bull trend from Mar 13. This opens 4244.00, the Feb 2 high and the next important resistance. Key support is at 4062.25, the May 4 low.
  • EUROSTOXX 50 futures traded higher again Friday and the contract remains just below its recent highs. Price has cleared resistance at 4363.00, the Apr 21 high and a bull trigger. The break confirms a resumption of the bull cycle from Mar 20 and a continuation of the medium-term uptrend. This opens 4409.50, the Nov 18 2021 high on the continuation chart and a key resistance. Firm support is at 4257.80, the 50-day EMA. Initial support lies at 4313.70, the 20-day EMA.

Historical bullets

MNI: FED'S CIE INFLATION EXPECTATIONS INDEX EASED IN Q1 '23

Apr-21 21:01



  • MNI: FED'S CIE INFLATION EXPECTATIONS INDEX EASED IN Q1 '23
  • FED DATA: CIE INDEX DOWN 0.09PPT TO 2.22%, LOWEST SINCE Q2 '21

USDCAD TECHS: Tops Resistance At The 50-Day EMA

Apr-21 20:00
  • RES 4: 1.3617 High Mar 29
  • RES 3: 1.3582 50.0% retracement of the Mar 10 - Apr 14 bear leg
  • RES 2: 1.3573 1.0% 10-dma envelope
  • RES 1: 1.3563 High Apr 21
  • PRICE: 1.3536 @ 16:42 BST Apr 21
  • SUP 1: 1.3385/3302 Low Apr 19 / 14 and the bear trigger
  • SUP 2: 1.3275 Low Feb 14
  • SUP 3: 1.3262 Low Feb 2 and a key support
  • SUP 4: 1.3226 Low Nov 15 2022

USDCAD maintains a firmer tone and the current correction remains intact. The pair has topped 1.3526 resistance - the 50-day EMA. A clear break of this hurdle would strengthen the current bull cycle and signal scope for a climb towards 1.3573, the 1.0% 10-dma envelope. For bears, a failure at the 50-day EMA would signal the end of the correction and attention would turn to the key support at 1.3302, the Apr 14 low.

MNI: TREASURY GENERAL ACCOUNT $280B APRIL 20 VS $265B PREV DAY

Apr-21 20:00
  • MNI: TREASURY GENERAL ACCOUNT $280B APRIL 20 VS $265B PREV DAY
  • TREASURY DATA: TGA TOTAL DEPOSITS $188B APRIL 20 VS $60B PREV