The Washington Post reports, citing sources 'familiar with the matter', that US President Joe Biden is weighing 'major new sanctions' against Russia's energy sector, potentially handing President-elect Donald Trump leverage over Russian President Vladimir Putin in Ukraine negotiations, expected to take place shortly after Trump takes office on January 20.
LNG: Potential LNG Cargo Reload from Brazil: Platts
Jan-23 11:36
The Cool Rider departed laden from Brazil and is currently heading to the Mediterranean , with an estimated arrival date of Jan. 27, Platts said.
- The tanker, which sources previously indicated is one of two chartered by Petrobras, appears to have reloaded volumes from the Guanabara Bay terminal in Rio de Janeiro.
- The last volumes delivered in Guanabara Bay came from a cargo reloaded at the Sergipe terminal when the latter’s FSRU was offline.
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US TSY OPTIONS: Large Feb'25 10Y Put Spread
Dec-24 11:31
- 20,000 TYG5 107.5/108.5 put spread, around 24 ref 108-16.5
US-RUSSIA: Biden Weighing New Sanctions Against Russian Energy Sector
Dec-24 11:24
US: Johnson Remains Favourite To Retain Speakership On Janaury 3
Dec-24 11:04
House Speaker Mike Johnson (R-LA) appears likely to win re-election to speaker on January 3, despite criticism from President-elect Donald Trump for his handling of a short-term government funding package. According to Polymarket, Johnson is assigned a 73% implied probability of retaining his gavel, down from roughly 95% ahead of the funding crisis.
- On January 3, Johnson will require near-unanimous support from House Republicans. Consistent with previous speaker votes when the minority party votes for their own candidate, Democrats are expected to whip against Johnson’s re-election. House Minority Leader Hakeem Jeffries (D-NY) told MSNBC on Sunday that there is a "real risk" of Johnson failing to become speaker, adding “there will be no Democrats available to save him or the extreme MAGA Republicans from themselves…”
- One Republican Rep, Thomas Massie (K-KY), who backed an effort to oust Johnson earlier this year, is again likely to oppose Johnson’s bid, with a handful of other hardline conservatives reportedly undecided.
- The baseline expectation is that Johnson is likely to be insulated from a major challenge to his speakership as there is no replacement candidate with a clear path to the gavel. Trump’s decision to endorse or oppose could smooth the path for Johnson’s re-election. Trump is likely to balance his dissatisfaction with Johnson’s failure to legislate a debt ceiling suspension with the necessity of stability in the House.
Figure 1: Next Speaker of the House of Representatives
Source: Polymarket
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