US EURODLR FUTURES: Post-LIBOR Settle Update: 3M Bounce, Still Off Wed' 2Y High

May-06 11:03

Lead quarterly EDM2 trading mildly lower at 98.14 (-0.005) after latest 3M LIBOR set' rebounds +0.03115 to 1.40186% (+0.06700/wk) and just off Wed's 2Y high of 1.40614%.

  • Balance of Whites through first half of Reds (EDU2-EDU3) trade +0.010-0.020 higher, Greens through Golds (EDM4-EDH7) trade -0.005-0.020 lower.
  • Inversion in front Reds (mkt measure of confidence in Fed managing a soft landing/avoiding recession) continues, but off lows w/ Red Sep (EDU3) currently trading 96.45 vs. Red Jun (EDM3) at 96.37. Levels start to flatten out (dis-invert) around Blue Sep'25/Dec'25 trading 96.855.
  • Thursday derivatives roundup: FI option option trade was dominated by put spread selling/position unwinds Thursday as underlying rates reversed Wednesday's post-FOMC "relief rally" when it was deemed Chairman Powell was not overly hawkish by not keeping 75bp rate hike chatter alive.
  • Variations on the theme: Block sale of -50,000 Sep 97.25/97.50 put spds, 14.0 followed by myriad June, Sep Dec and March put spd sales, various strikes.

  • Aside from unwinding puts/put spds seeing pick-up in call buyer fading sell-off in underlying: 28,000 short Aug 97.37/97.62 call spds, 2.0.

Historical bullets

LIBOR: JAPAN FIX - 06/04/22

Apr-06 11:02
  • 1M -0.06375 0
  • 3M -0.00398 -0.00493
  • 6M 0.04946 0.00616

LIBOR: US FIX - 06/04/22

Apr-06 11:01
  • O/N 0.32800 0.00186
  • 1M 0.45143 0.00543
  • 3M 0.98643 0.01986
  • 6M 1.50171 0.02685
  • 12M 2.24343 0.01557

MNI: US MBA: MARKET COMPOSITE -6.3% SA THRU APR 01 WK

Apr-06 11:00



  • MNI: US MBA: MARKET COMPOSITE -6.3% SA THRU APR 01 WK