EMISSIONS: Poland Opposes EU 2040 Emissions Target
Jul-04 13:10
Poland’s government said it will not support the EU new 2040 climate target of 90% emissions cut from 1990 levels, calling the plan unrealistic and warning of economic and social risks, according to Brussels Signal.
- Poland is seeking to build a coalition with other member states to push for greater national flexibility.
- Climate Minister Paulina Hennig-Kloska said Poland is “not yet ready to implement such ambitious plans” and called for “greater flexibility” from the EC.
- Government spokesman Adam Szłapka described the target as “unacceptable,” while the opposition party warned the plan would mean “unimaginable costs” for ordinary Poles.
- Poland remains heavily reliant on coal, which provided 57% of electricity in 2024, though renewables reached a record 29% share. Despite this progress, the pace of transition is seen as too slow to meet steeper EU targets.
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BOC: June Decision: Hold Is 80+% Priced
Jun-04 13:10
The Bank of Canada decision is in just over 30 minutes (0945ET) - our full preview is here (PDF link) :
- The BOC is likely to keep the overnight rate at 2.75%. Current OIS meeting-dated pricing implies between 15-20% probability of a 25bp cut today, though there are multiple analysts who have a cut as their base case - and the BOC has been known to surprise in the past.
- The next meeting in July is still very much "live" both with analysts and market pricing, with 17bp cumulative cuts priced through then, though the first full cut pricing is only through September's decision. 40bp of cuts are priced for the remainder of 2025.
- Statement / Press Conference: Consensus appears to be for a "dovish hold", keeping the door open to a cut in July. The BoC will emphasize once again that it is committed to maintaining price stability amid high levels of uncertainty. We wouldn’t expect any sort of firmer forward guidance.
- Monetary Policy Report / Projections: There is no MPR at this meeting – the next release is in July.
EQUITIES: EU Bank Vol trade
Jun-04 13:09
SX7E (19th Dec) 200^, bought for 18.10 in 7k.
STIR: Post-ADP SOFR Option Update
Jun-04 13:03
- -20,000 SFRZ5 96.00/96.25/96.50 put trees, 2.0 vs. 96.175/0.22%
- +2,000 SFRZ5 97.12 calls, 6.5
- +3,500 SFRQ5 95.62/95.75 put spds, 2.5 ref 95.92
- +3,000 SFRZ5 96.25/96.75 1x2 call spds 1.25
