SWITZERLAND: Parmelin Confirmed As President Of The Confederation For 2nd Time

Dec-10 15:25

Vice President Guy Parmelin has been confirmed as the next president of the Swiss Confederation after a vote in the Swiss Federal Assembly earlier today. Parmelin hails from the right-wing Swiss People's Party and has served as vice president for the past year while also leading the Department of Economic Affairs, Education and Research since 2018. Under the unique Swiss political system, Parmelin does not hold any more formal powers than the others on the seven-member Federal Council, which acts as the country's joint head of gov't and state. The president chairs the committee and often acts as a ceremonial head of state when dealing with foreign leaders. 

  • Incumbent President Karin Keller-Sutter gained prominence in 2025, when she initially acted as point-person in talks with the Trump administration in the US regarding tariffs. A disastrous phone call in July, followed by a humiliating trip to Washington, D.C., in August, where Keller-Sutter was not able to meet with officials responsible for trade, saw 39% tariffs imposed and the president of the confederation take a back seat in negotiations.
  • Instead, Parmelin took on the responsibility, given that his department is responsible for trade. The deal agreed in November is set to see a lower 15% tariff come in on an unspecified date.  
  • The Federal Assembly vote was overwhelming, with 203 of the 228 ballots cast in favour. It is the highest support this century, exceeding the 188 votes cast in his favour ahead of his first presidential term in 2021, and above the average since 2000 of 172. 

Historical bullets

FED FUNDS FUTURES: BLOCK: Jan'26 FF Sale

Nov-10 15:08
  • -21,000 FFF6 96.295, post time bid at 0951:22ET.
  • The Jan'26 serial contract trades 96.295 last (-0.010)

UK DATA: MNI Labour Market Preview

Nov-10 15:06

For the full preview click here.

  • Labour market data has risen in prominence again with the main focus on private regular earnings (AWE).
  • We see risks tilted slightly to the upside – which might see a larger-than-usual initial market reaction if we round up to 4.3%Y/Y (given the emphasis Governor Bailey is placing on the data ahead of the December MPC meeting and that markets already price in 17bp of cuts for this meeting).
  • We look at the updated BOE staff projections as well as median expectations.
  • The unemployment projection for Q3 is expected at 4.87% in the new MPR projections with 11/12 sellside previews we have read also looking for a number that rounds to 4.9%.
  • The main bright spot in last month’s report was the payrolls revisions which have left the series looking as though it has stabilised rather than fallen over the past 3-months. We haven’t seen much discussion on whether there will be further revisions here but the median of the previews that we have read looks for a flat flash October print (while the Bloomberg consensus looks for -3k).

UK FISCAL: Reeves: Most explicit on breaking manifesto and 2 child benefit cap

Nov-10 14:59
  • Overall - that is the most explicit Reeves has been about breaking the manifesto pledges not to increase income tax, NIC or VAT (but one of those being broken is already widely expected now).
  • Also the clearest indication regarding the end of the 2 child benefit cap: "I don't think a child said the chancellor should be penalised for being in a bigger family through no fault of their own."