Latest phase of risk-on is providing some solid support for equities and growth-tied FX, evident in the clearance of earlier highs for NASDAQ-100 futures and strong reversal off highs for USD/CAD.
- These Carney comments are largely a restatement of his position: more tariffs on Canada will mean more retaliatory tariffs - but speculation remains over whether Canada (and Mexico) could be granted some reprieve under the USMCA agreement - however this remains to be seen, and subject to confirmation from Trump's Rose Garden appearance at 4pm local (2100BST) tomorrow.
- Such a reprieve for CAD (and MXN) over other nations would be CAD positive, and may be playing out in the CAD strength over e.g. GBP in recent trade - which has reverted back to 1.85 into the London close.