US 10YR FUTURE TECHS: Outlook Remains Bullish

Mar-17 16:50
  • RES 4: 117-00 61.8% of the Aug - Oct 2022 bear leg (cont)
  • RES 3: 116-28+ High Jan 19 and key resistance
  • RES 2: 116-08 High Feb 2
  • RES 1: 116-01 High Mar 16
  • PRICE: 115-18 @ 16:46 GMT Mar 17
  • SUP 1: 113-28 38.2% retracement of the rally from Mar 2 (cont)
  • SUP 2: 113-06+ 50-day EMA
  • SUP 3: 112-27 20-day EMA
  • SUP 4: 112-17+ 61.8% retracement of the rally from Mar 2 (cont)

Treasury futures failed to hold on to yesterday’s high of 116-01. Despite the pullback, a bullish short-term outlook remains intact. Key support to watch lies at 113-06+, the 50-day EMA and this level also represent a short-term pivot level. A break of yesterday’s high would open 116-08, the Feb 2 high and 116-28+, the Jan 19 high and a key resistance. On the downside, a clear breach of the 50-day EMA would expose 112-21, the Mar 13 low.

Historical bullets

US-RUSSIA: Russia To Call UN Security Council Meeting On Nordstream "Sabotage"

Feb-15 16:44

Russian state-owned RIA news agency has reported that Russia will call a February 22 meeting of the United Nations Security Council to discuss the "sabotage" of the two Nord Steam gas pipelines connecting Russia and Germany.

  • The meeting comes in the wake of a widely shared article from US journalist Seymore Hersch which argued that US President Joe Biden ordered the destruction of the pipelines to prevent Russian leverage over European energy supply.
  • The White House described the Hersch article as "complete fiction" and several prominent journalists with expertise in energy and security argued that the article was poorly sourced and contained numerous falsifiable assertions.

US TSY FUTURES: BLOCK, Recent 10Y Sale

Feb-15 16:42
  • -5,600 TYH3 112-01.5, post-time bid at 1124:36ET, 112-03.5 last -7

US: Atlanta Fed GDPNow Q1 '23 Latest Estimate Inches Higher

Feb-15 16:39

The Atlanta Fed's GDPNow model estimate of real GDP growth for the first quarter of 2023 has climbed to 2.4%, up from 2.2% last week. Since last week's data "an increase in the nowcast of first-quarter real personal consumption expenditures growth from 3.0 percent to 3.6 percent was slightly offset by a decrease in first-quarter real gross private domestic investment growth from -5.6 percent to -6.5 percent."

Atlanta Federal Reserve