UK: ONS May Consult on Creating Seasonally Adjusted M/M CPI in Coming Months

May-22 13:04
  • The UK ONS are planning to release a consultation at some point in the coming months to consider whether to launch a M/M seasonally adjusted CPI figure, according to BBG sources.
  • The aim would be to allow both the BoE and markets in general to better be able to gauge shifts in inflation pressures, and avoid volatility in inflation metrics that are triggered by routine price changes that occur at particular times of the year. Despite the consultation, the sources note this wouldn't mean we get a seasonally adjusted M/M CPI until "2026 at the earliest". 

Historical bullets

EURIBOR OPTIONS: Outright put seller

Apr-22 13:00

ERZ5 98.3125p, sold at 14.5 down to 14 in 8k.

US TSY FUTURES: Extending Gains

Apr-22 12:59
  • Treasury futures continue to extend the top end of the early session range, curves flatter (2s10s -4.997 at 59.204) with the long end outperforming.
  • Jun'25 10Y futures tap 110-29 (+3) on latest move, 2s -2.12 at 103-26.25 ahead of this afternoon's $69B 2Y Treasury auction.
  • Gold is paring gains after topping 3,500.0 overnight trades near steady at 3424.0. Bbg US$ index +1.85 at 1217.99.

CANADA DATA: March Industrial Prices +4.7% YOY on Precious Metals

Apr-22 12:58
  • Canada's Industrial Price Index +4.7% YOY in March, sixth straight increase led by precious metals on strong investment in gold and silver. Aluminum, softwood lumber and copper were also key contributors.
  • Drop in gasoline prices moderated YOY gains linked to base effects due to seasonal factors and downtime of some refineries.
  • Index rose for the sixth straight month +0.5% MOM in March.
  • StatsCan's Raw Material Price Index +3.9% YOY, fifth straight YOY gain led by precious metals. 
  • RMPI -1% MOM after 3 straight monthly gains led by drop in crude and crop prices. Excluding crude energy products, RMPI +0.4% in March.